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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: M Koløy

Moss

S T U U T

2–1

Full-time

Jerv

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Jerv

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 14. · Jerv 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ranheim	4	3	0	1	-1	9
2	Sogndal	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Fredrikstad	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Jerv	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Kristiansund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Start	3	1	2	0	+4	5
7	hodd	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Bryne	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Raufoss	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Sandnes ULF	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Skeid	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Kongsvinger	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Asane	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Moss	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Mjondalen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sandnes ULF	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Bryne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	hodd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Start	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Raufoss	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Jerv	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ranheim	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Fredrikstad	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Skeid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Moss	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Mjondalen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Asane	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Skeid	3	1	0	2	+0	3
6	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Start	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Asane	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Moss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	hodd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bryne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Raufoss	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sandnes ULF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Kongsvinger	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.