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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Fredrikstad
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Moss
S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Moss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
67%
25%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 4. · Moss 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ranheim 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Sogndal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Sandnes ULF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
4 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 hodd 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Bryne 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 KFUM Oslo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Mjondalen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Asane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Moss 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Start 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Kongsvinger 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Moss
9′
🟨 K. Makosso
1–0 R. Alba
17′
29′
🟨 H. Gjesdal
Half-time 1–0
H. Asheim 🟨
52′
T. Johansen 🟨
62′
S. Molde 🔁
↦ T. Johansen
67′
73′
🔁 L. Callaku
↦ A. Håpnes
73′
🔁 S. Pedersen
↦ Cláudio Braga
80′
S. Pedersen 1–1
H. Johansen 🔁
↦ R. Alba
82′
82′
🔁 I. Kukleci
↦ A. Ali
T. Drage 🔁
↦ T. Björkström
84′
N. Williams 🔁
↦ J. Magnússon
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
2 T. Björkström
5 S. Rafn
26 M. Nielsen
18 L. Begby
17 T. Johansen
20 H. Åsheim
19 J. Magnússon
12 P. Metcalfe
11 R. Alba
10 L. Lima
Bench (9)
4 S. Molde
9 H. Johansen
7 T. Drage
24 N. Williams
3 B. Skaret
16 A. Konte
23 M. Maden
25 O. Langbråten
28 I. Hermansen

Coach: M. Thomassen

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
4 H. Gjesdal
3 K. Strande
25 A. Hussein
2 M. Andresen
6 K. Makosso
20 A. Potur
15 A. Håpnes
16 A. Ali
23 N. Alexandersson
14 Cláudio Braga
Bench (9)
10 L. Callaku
19 S. Pedersen
5 I. Kukleci
11 K. Kalabatama
12 E. Myrhaug
18 L. Getz
21 I. Hoffmann
22 S. Martinsen-Wold
26 O. Kjeilen Stavdal

Coach: T. Myhre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.