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Ekstraklasa

Referee: B Frankowski

Stal Mielec

U U S U T

2–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 31%

31%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

31%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

38%

62%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 13. · Korona Kielce 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	30	22	5	3	+41	71
2	Legia	30	17	9	4	+16	60
3	Pogon Szczecin	30	14	9	7	+6	51
4	Lech Poznan	29	13	10	6	+13	49
5	Warta Poznan	30	12	8	10	+6	44
6	Piast Gliwice	30	12	7	11	+4	43
7	Cracovia	29	11	8	10	+7	41
8	Jagiellonia	30	9	12	9	+5	39
9	Widzew Lodz	30	10	8	12	-4	38
10	Radomiak Radom	30	10	8	12	-5	38
11	Wisla Plock	30	10	6	14	-3	36
12	Gornik Zabrze	29	9	8	12	-3	35
13	Stal Mielec	29	9	8	12	-4	35
14	Korona Kielce	29	9	8	12	-8	35
15	Zaglebie	30	9	8	13	-14	35
16	Slask Wroclaw	30	7	10	13	-15	31
17	Lechia Gdansk	30	7	5	18	-24	26
18	Legnica	29	4	9	16	-18	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	14	1	0	+33	43
2	Legia	15	10	5	0	+15	35
3	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+8	27
4	Jagiellonia	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Cracovia	14	7	4	3	+11	25
6	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Korona Kielce	15	7	3	5	+2	24
8	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
9	Warta Poznan	15	5	6	4	+4	21
10	Piast Gliwice	15	5	4	6	+1	19
11	Stal Mielec	14	4	6	4	+2	18
12	Widzew Lodz	15	5	3	7	-2	18
13	Slask Wroclaw	15	4	6	5	-4	18
14	Gornik Zabrze	15	4	5	6	-3	17
15	Radomiak Radom	15	4	4	7	-4	16
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	4	4	7	-6	16
17	Legnica	15	3	6	6	-6	15
18	Zaglebie	16	3	5	8	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	8	4	3	+8	28
2	Lech Poznan	15	6	8	1	+7	26
3	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+2	26
4	Legia	15	7	4	4	+1	25
5	Piast Gliwice	15	7	3	5	+3	24
6	Warta Poznan	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Zaglebie	14	6	3	5	-5	21
9	Widzew Lodz	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Stal Mielec	15	5	2	8	-6	17
12	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Jagiellonia	15	1	10	4	-3	13
14	Slask Wroclaw	15	3	4	8	-11	13
15	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Wisla Plock	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Legnica	14	1	3	10	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.