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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Dundee United

U S T U U

3–1

Full-time

St Mirren

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

50%

13%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

3,4

1,5

Scored

1,8

0,6

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 12

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dundee United 5. · St Mirren 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	8	7	1	0	+13	+0.8	22
2	Celtic	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.5	17
3	Falkirk	9	3	3	3	-3	-0.7	12
4	Hibernian	8	2	5	1	+4	+1.1	11
5	Dundee United	8	2	4	2	+1	-1.0	10
6	Kilmarnock	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.1	10
7	Rangers	8	1	6	1	-1	-0.9	9
8	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.5	9
9	Dundee	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.0	9
10	Motherwell	8	1	5	2	+0	+1.8	8
11	Aberdeen	8	2	1	5	-4	-0.6	7
12	Livingston	9	1	3	5	-8	+0.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
3	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.8	7
4	Hibernian	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.3	6
5	Falkirk	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.1	6
6	Motherwell	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.0	5
7	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
8	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.2	5
9	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.7	4
10	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
11	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
12	Rangers	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	4	0	0	+7	+0.9	12
2	Celtic	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.1	6
4	Rangers	4	1	3	0	+1	-2.0	6
5	Falkirk	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.8	6
6	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
7	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
8	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
9	Motherwell	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.2	3
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	+0.1	3
11	Livingston	6	0	3	3	-8	-0.2	3
12	Dundee	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.