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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Start
U U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Kongsvinger
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,2
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 47%
40%
54%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
68%
71%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 5. · Kongsvinger 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 25 15 9 1 +22 54
2 KFUM Oslo 25 14 5 6 +15 47
3 Kongsvinger 24 13 3 8 +9 42
4 Sogndal 26 12 5 9 +4 41
5 Start 25 10 9 6 +13 39
6 Kristiansund 24 10 7 7 +7 37
7 Bryne 24 10 5 9 +6 35
8 Sandnes ULF 26 9 7 10 +3 34
9 Raufoss 26 9 7 10 +0 34
10 Moss 26 9 7 10 -2 34
11 Ranheim 25 10 3 12 -17 33
12 Asane 25 7 9 9 +1 30
13 Mjondalen 26 8 6 12 -5 30
14 Jerv 25 7 6 12 -15 27
15 hodd 26 6 7 13 -11 25
16 Skeid 26 3 5 18 -30 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Kongsvinger
22′
E. Myrlid 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Sjøkvist 🔁
↦ K. Wallius
46′
A. Sadiku 🔁
↦ S. Osestad
46′
M. Grundetjern 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 L. Langrekken
T. Strannegård 🔁
↦ S. Nkubiri
60′
1–1 M. Grundetjern
60′
2–1 M. Grundetjern
63′
66′
🟨 V. Moberg
69′
🔁 E. Taylor
↦ J. Grundt
69′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ L. Langrekken
69′
🔁 J. Holtan
↦ E. Myrlid
J. Gregersen 🟨
70′
J. Tveita 🔁
↦ J. Gregersen
73′
90′
🔁 M. Haga
↦ M. Hellan
R. Vikstøl 🔁
↦ F. Østigård Ness
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Start

1 J. Torkildsen
3 V. Wormgoor
15 H. Robstad
14 L. Mares
30 F. Østigård Ness
23 K. Wallius
25 J. Gregersen
4 V. Sakor
40 S. Osestad
8 M. Grundetjern
44 S. Nkubiri
Bench (9)
21 S. Sjøkvist
22 A. Sadiku
16 T. Strannegård
18 J. Tveita
28 R. Vikstøl
33 S. Ringsbu
42 A. Nilsen
96 M. Fabricius Jensen
31 D. Alijevitsj Dasjajev

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Kongsvinger

31 A. Smedplass
3 V. Grodås
12 M. Haakenstad
5 F. Holmé
16 M. Hellan
8 V. Moberg
6 H. Holter
23 M. Vinjor
20 J. Grundt
22 L. Langrekken
26 E. Myrlid
Bench (9)
7 E. Taylor
11 M. Andersen
18 J. Holtan
14 M. Haga
13 M. Aadnøy
15 M. Eriksen
21 D. Lysgård
28 R. Christiansen
41 M. Lindegaard

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.