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Süper Lig

Referee: A Bitigen

Rizespor

S S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Samsunspor

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

1,6

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,6

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,63 xG 0,80

31% Possession 69%

8 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 8. · Samsunspor 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	7	1	0	+12	+11.1	22
2	Fenerbahce	7	7	0	0	+15	+13.0	21
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	5	2	1	+10	+4.1	17
4	Besiktas	7	4	1	2	+1	+4.2	13
5	Trabzonspor	8	4	0	4	+4	-0.7	12
6	Kasimpasa	7	3	3	1	-1	+0.2	12
7	Hatayspor	7	2	5	0	+5	+2.1	11
8	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	-3	-1.9	11
9	Sivasspor	8	2	4	2	-1	+1.0	10
10	Kayserispor	8	2	4	2	-1	-1.9	10
11	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.6	10
12	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	+2	-2.2	9
13	Konyaspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
14	Antalyaspor	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.1	9
15	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-6	-3.3	7
16	Karagumruk	8	1	3	4	-2	-5.3	6
17	Gaziantep	8	2	0	6	-9	-6.6	6
18	Pendikspor	8	0	4	4	-9	-5.5	4
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-5.9	2
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
3	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
5	Kayserispor	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
6	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.6	8
7	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
8	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
9	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	+2	+1.2	5
10	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
11	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
12	Antalyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.0	5
13	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
14	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
15	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-2	-3.2	3
16	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
17	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
18	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.8	2
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
20	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.8	13
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.1	7
4	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
5	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	+1.0	6
6	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-3.6	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
8	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
9	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
10	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
12	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
13	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	+0	-2.8	3
14	Gaziantep	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.1	3
15	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.0	2
17	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.