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Super League
Referee: E Gortsilas
AEK
S S S T U
3–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-2,0
This season — Super League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 56%
83%
29%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

70% Possession 30%
25 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 6. · Panetolikos 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 8 7 1 0 +23 22
2 PAOK 8 4 3 1 +8 15
3 OFI Crete 8 4 3 1 +2 15
4 Panathinaikos 6 4 1 1 +11 13
5 Lamia 8 3 3 2 -3 12
6 AEK 6 3 2 1 +1 11
7 Panserraikos 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Aris Thessalonikis 7 2 2 3 -1 8
9 Aris 7 2 2 3 -1 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 8 2 2 4 -4 8
11 Kifisia 8 1 4 3 -7 7
12 Giannina 7 1 2 4 -4 5
13 Atromitos 6 0 3 3 -6 3
14 Panetolikos 7 0 3 4 -12 3
15 Volos NFC 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Panetolikos
1–0 D. Vida
N. Eliasson
34′
2–0 L. Rota
N. Eliasson
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 G. Liavas
↦ I. Bouzoukis
57′
🔁 Frederico Duarte
↦ G. Xenitidis
H. Moukoudi 🔁
↦ A. Callens
59′
65′
🟨 Facundo Pérez
73′
🔁 F. Baldassarra
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
73′
🔁 N. Stajić
↦ B. Duarte
Zini 🔁
↦ R. Pizarro
77′
N. Amrabat 🔁
↦ N. Eliasson
77′
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ E. Hajisafi
78′
82′
🔁 A. Voilis
↦ L. Shengelia
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
83′
84′
🟨 Sebastian Mladen
3–0 H. Moukoudi
N. Amrabat
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 C. Stanković G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
18 A. Callens D
28 E. Hajisafi D
6 J. Jønsson M
13 O. Pineda M
19 N. Eliasson M
20 P. Mantalos M
70 R. Pizarro M
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
2 H. Moukoudi
90 Zini
5 N. Amrabat
8 M. Gaćinović
14 E. Ponce
29 D. Sidibé
24 G. Mitoglou
30 G. Athanasiadis
9 T. van Weert

Coach: M. Almeyda

Panetolikos

4-5-1
1 S. Kapino G
47 A. Malis D
26 B. Duarte D
5 S. Mladen D
24 P. Silva D
27 L. Shengelia M
23 G. Xenitidis M
34 F. Pérez M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis M
45 João Pedro F
Bench (9)
54 G. Liavas
14 Frederico Duarte
80 F. Baldassarra
49 N. Stajić
19 A. Voilis
10 J. Añor
13 J. Graterol
8 C. Belevonis
77 E. Nikolaou

Coach: G. Petrakis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,06
U
11,44
B
27,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Gortsilas · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
34,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.