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Süper Lig
Referee: O Çakır
Rizespor
T S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Sivasspor
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 33%
37%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
57%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,87 xG 0,64
48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 14. · Sivasspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 28 22 5 1 +40 +25.8 71
2 Fenerbahce 27 20 5 2 +42 +35.2 65
3 Samsunspor 28 15 6 7 +12 +8.1 51
4 Besiktas 27 13 8 6 +14 +16.6 47
5 Eyüpspor 28 12 8 8 +9 -0.3 44
6 Buyuksehyr 27 11 6 10 +6 +6.4 39
7 Goztep 27 10 8 9 +10 +15.4 38
8 Gaziantep 27 11 5 11 +0 -7.9 38
9 Kasimpasa 28 9 11 8 -3 -0.3 38
10 Trabzonspor 27 9 9 9 +12 -1.8 36
11 Antalyaspor 28 10 6 12 -20 -14.9 36
12 Konyaspor 28 9 7 12 -6 -8.9 34
13 Kayserispor 28 8 9 11 -12 -0.4 33
14 Rizespor 27 10 3 14 -12 +3.8 33
15 Alanyaspor 28 8 7 13 -10 -2.6 31
16 Sivasspor 28 8 6 14 -8 -12.8 30
17 Bodrumspor 28 8 6 14 -11 -3.0 30
18 Hatayspor 27 4 7 16 -22 -24.7 19
19 Ad. Demirspor 28 2 4 22 -41 -33.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Sivasspor
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 V. Simić
↦ Garry Rodrigues
E. Bulut 🔁
↦ V. Jurečka
65′
D. Akintola 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
65′
Emrecan Bulut ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
68′
1–0 B. Özcan
70′
M. Buljubašić 🔁
↦ D. Varešanović
77′
81′
🔁 Q. Menig
↦ S. Moutoussamy
84′
V. Simić 1–1
M. Paluli
86′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ T. Böke
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rizespor

3-4-1-2
1 T. Çetin G
4 A. Mocsi D
2 H. Aliqulov D
5 C. Højer D
37 T. Şahin M
20 B. Özcan M
54 M. Pala M
77 A. Zeqiri M
8 D. Varešanović F
15 V. Jurečka F
9 A. Sowe F
Bench (9)
17 E. Bulut
28 D. Akintola
18 M. Buljubašić
95 H. Özbakır
30 I. Grbić
97 D. Avcı
45 A. Karapo
35 E. Doğan
27 E. Korkmaz

Coach: İ. Palut

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
7 M. Paluli D
26 U. Radaković D
30 T. Ciğerci D
3 U. Çiftçi D
12 S. Moutoussamy M
46 T. Böke M
8 C. Charisis M
80 E. Bekiroğlu M
24 Garry Rodrigues M
9 R. Manaj F
Bench (10)
22 V. Simić
11 Q. Menig
14 S. Camara
74 A. Erdursun
44 A. Poungouras
27 N. Sonko Sundberg
23 A. Okumuş
10 A. Pritchard
58 Z. Erdal
90 A. Turgunboev

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,70
B
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Çakır · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.