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Süper Lig

Referee: E Kargın

Rizespor

S S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 30%

42%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

58%

67%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,97 xG 0,36

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rizespor 11. · Kayserispor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	11	1	0	+22	+11.2	34
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+22	+16.7	29
3	Samsunspor	14	9	2	3	+15	+8.8	29
4	Eyüpspor	13	6	4	3	+6	+0.4	22
5	Besiktas	12	6	3	3	+7	+6.5	21
6	Goztep	13	6	3	4	+5	+3.1	21
7	Buyuksehyr	13	5	4	4	+3	+2.2	19
8	Sivasspor	14	5	3	6	-4	-10.3	18
9	Konyaspor	14	5	3	6	-5	-4.1	18
10	Antalyaspor	13	5	2	6	-8	-8.1	17
11	Rizespor	12	5	1	6	-8	-0.8	16
12	Trabzonspor	13	3	6	4	+2	-0.4	15
13	Gaziantep	12	4	3	5	+0	-2.4	15
14	Kasimpasa	13	3	6	4	-3	+0.9	15
15	Alanyaspor	13	3	5	5	-4	+1.0	14
16	Kayserispor	12	2	6	4	-9	-6.3	12
17	Bodrumspor	14	3	2	9	-11	-6.9	11
18	Hatayspor	12	1	4	7	-8	-4.9	7
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	0	2	11	-22	-6.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+11	+9.2	19
2	Goztep	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.9	16
3	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
4	Eyüpspor	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.3	13
5	Antalyaspor	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.7	13
6	Buyuksehyr	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.2	12
7	Fenerbahce	5	4	0	1	+8	+8.5	12
8	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	+3	+4.9	12
9	Trabzonspor	6	3	2	1	+6	+1.8	11
10	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.5	11
11	Sivasspor	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.8	11
12	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.4	9
13	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.2	9
14	Bodrumspor	7	2	1	4	+0	-2.0	7
15	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.2	7
16	Hatayspor	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.3	5
17	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
18	Kayserispor	6	0	3	3	-8	-4.0	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+14	+8.2	17
2	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+2.0	15
3	Samsunspor	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.6	15
4	Kasimpasa	6	3	3	0	+4	+0.8	12
5	Besiktas	6	2	3	1	+4	+1.6	9
6	Eyüpspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
7	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	-1	-2.3	9
8	Rizespor	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.6	9
9	Konyaspor	8	3	0	5	-6	-4.6	9
10	Sivasspor	7	2	1	4	-5	-6.4	7
11	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.0	7
12	Goztep	7	1	2	4	-4	+0.2	5
13	Alanyaspor	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.2	5
14	Trabzonspor	7	0	4	3	-4	-2.2	4
15	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
16	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
17	Bodrumspor	7	1	1	5	-11	-5.0	4
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-5	-3.6	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	2	4	-9	-5.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.