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Super League
Referee: F Zwayer
Panathinaikos
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Super League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,6
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 9. · Aris Thessalonikis 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 9 5 2 2 +7 17
2 Aris Thessalonikis 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Aris 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 AEK 9 4 3 2 +8 15
5 Olympiakos 10 4 3 3 +5 15
6 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 Asteras Tripolis 10 3 5 2 +2 14
8 OFI Crete 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Panserraikos 10 3 1 6 -6 10
11 Volos NFC 9 3 1 5 -7 10
12 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 6 3 -6 6
15 Athens Kallithea 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
28′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
1–0 Tetê
33′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Fran Vélez
Filip Mladenović 🟨
51′
57′
🔁 K. Saverio
↦ P. Sisto
57′
🔁 Juankar
↦ M. Frýdek
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
61′
F. Đuričić 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
72′
72′
Loren Morón 1–1
K. Saverio
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ A. Gnezda Čerin
73′
75′
🔁 V. Darida
↦ Manu García
75′
🔁 Fabiano
↦ Fran Vélez
79′
🟨 Jakub Brabec
83′
🔁 R. Quaison
↦ Loren Morón
Willian Arão 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
21 T. Jedvaj D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
55 Willian Arão M
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
10 Tetê M
11 A. Bakasetas M
28 F. Pellistri M
29 A. Jeremejeff F
Bench (9)
7 F. Ioannidis
31 F. Đuričić
8 A. Ounahi
5 B. Schenkeveld
6 Zeca
1 Y. Lodygin
27 G. Kotsiras
17 D. Mancini
20 N. Maksimović

Coach: D. Alonso

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 Hugo Mallo D
4 Fran Vélez D
14 J. Brabec D
17 M. Frýdek D
5 J. Cifuentes M
8 Monchu M
99 C. Diandy M
6 Manu García M
7 P. Sisto M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
11 K. Saverio
27 Juankar
16 V. Darida
3 Fabiano
19 R. Quaison
33 Martín Montoya
10 G. Fetfatzidis
20 F. Sidklev
93 M. Suleymanov

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.