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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydın

Alanyaspor

S U T S S

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 55%

33%

76%

Points per game

1,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

57%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,6

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,43 xG 1,50

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 9. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	21	18	3	0	+32	+22.8	57
2	Fenerbahce	21	16	3	2	+33	+28.2	51
3	Samsunspor	22	13	4	5	+13	+10.4	43
4	Eyüpspor	21	11	6	4	+15	+1.0	39
5	Besiktas	21	9	8	4	+10	+9.1	35
6	Goztep	21	10	4	7	+13	+14.0	34
7	Buyuksehyr	21	9	5	7	+9	+8.1	32
8	Kasimpasa	22	7	10	5	-2	-0.2	31
9	Alanyaspor	21	7	7	7	-3	-3.5	28
10	Rizespor	22	8	3	11	-11	+3.7	27
11	Trabzonspor	20	6	8	6	+10	-1.6	26
12	Gaziantep	21	7	5	9	-3	-6.0	26
13	Antalyaspor	21	7	4	10	-16	-13.9	25
14	Konyaspor	22	6	6	10	-7	-7.7	24
15	Sivasspor	22	6	5	11	-11	-16.3	23
16	Kayserispor	21	4	8	9	-19	-6.1	20
17	Bodrumspor	21	4	4	13	-14	-5.2	16
18	Hatayspor	22	1	7	14	-19	-17.0	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	21	2	2	17	-30	-20.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	9	2	0	+14	+16.0	29
2	Goztep	11	9	1	1	+19	+13.5	28
3	Fenerbahce	10	9	0	1	+15	+14.9	27
4	Eyüpspor	10	7	2	1	+13	+4.4	23
5	Samsunspor	11	7	2	2	+10	+9.6	23
6	Buyuksehyr	11	6	4	1	+16	+9.0	22
7	Trabzonspor	10	6	3	1	+16	+4.6	21
8	Gaziantep	11	6	3	2	+8	+1.0	21
9	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+5	+7.5	20
10	Alanyaspor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	10	5	2	3	-2	-4.5	17
12	Sivasspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-6.2	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Konyaspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.9	14
15	Kasimpasa	11	3	4	4	-3	+3.7	13
16	Bodrumspor	10	3	2	5	+1	-0.6	11
17	Kayserispor	11	2	4	5	-10	-2.1	10
18	Hatayspor	12	1	5	6	-7	-7.0	8
19	Ad. Demirspor	11	1	0	10	-19	-8.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+18	+6.8	28
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	3	1	+18	+13.4	24
3	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+3	+0.8	20
4	Kasimpasa	11	4	6	1	+1	-3.9	18
5	Eyüpspor	11	4	4	3	+2	-3.4	16
6	Besiktas	11	3	6	2	+5	+1.7	15
7	Rizespor	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.8	12
8	Buyuksehyr	10	3	1	6	-7	-0.9	10
9	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-7.3	10
10	Konyaspor	12	3	1	8	-9	-9.6	10
11	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-9	-4.0	10
12	Antalyaspor	11	2	2	7	-14	-9.4	8
13	Sivasspor	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.1	7
14	Goztep	10	1	3	6	-6	+0.6	6
15	Trabzonspor	10	0	5	5	-6	-6.1	5
16	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	10	1	2	7	-11	-11.2	5
18	Bodrumspor	11	1	2	8	-15	-4.5	5
19	Hatayspor	10	0	2	8	-12	-10.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.