Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lyon
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | +38 | +35.9 | 53 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +18 | +6.4 | 40 |
| 3 |
Nice
|
21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +15 | +12.6 | 37 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | +9 | +19.8 | 37 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +12 | +7.1 | 35 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +5 | +9.0 | 33 |
| 7 |
Brest
|
21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | -3 | -10.7 | 31 |
| 8 |
Lyon
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | +4.2 | 30 |
| 9 |
Strasbourg
|
20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | +1 | -7.8 | 27 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -1 | +8.4 | 26 |
| 11 |
Rennes
|
21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | -1 | +2.4 | 23 |
| 12 |
Auxerre
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -6 | -11.6 | 23 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -7 | -5.6 | 23 |
| 14 |
Reims
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -3 | -8.3 | 22 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -8 | -8.5 | 21 |
| 16 |
St Etienne
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -26 | -22.7 | 18 |
| 17 |
Le Havre
|
21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | -23 | -14.4 | 17 |
| 18 |
Montpellier
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -26 | -16.2 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Lucas Perri
G
S. Kumbedi
D
Clinton Mata
D
M. Niakhaté
D
N. Tagliafico
D
N. Matić
M
T. Tessmann
M
R. Cherki
M
C. Tolisso
M
E. Nuamah
M
G. Mikautadze
F
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Y. Diouf
G
M. Gbane
D
C. Kipré
D
Sergio Akieme
D
J. Patrick
M
J. Ito
F
O. Diakité
F
M. Diakhon
F
Coach: S. Diawara
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Marseille
Lyon
Lyon
Ludogorets
Nantes
Lyon
Fenerbahce
Lyon
Lyon
Toulouse
F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.