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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Lyon
U U U U T
4–0
Full-time
Reims
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,30 xG 0,35
68% Possession 32%
15 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 8. · Reims 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 16 5 0 +38 +35.9 53
2 Marseille 20 12 4 4 +18 +6.4 40
3 Nice 21 10 7 4 +15 +12.6 37
4 Monaco 21 11 4 6 +9 +19.8 37
5 Lille 21 9 8 4 +12 +7.1 35
6 Lens 21 9 6 6 +5 +9.0 33
7 Brest 21 10 1 10 -3 -10.7 31
8 Lyon 20 8 6 6 +6 +4.2 30
9 Strasbourg 20 7 6 7 +1 -7.8 27
10 Toulouse 20 7 5 8 -1 +8.4 26
11 Rennes 21 7 2 12 -1 +2.4 23
12 Auxerre 20 6 5 9 -6 -11.6 23
13 Angers 20 6 5 9 -7 -5.6 23
14 Reims 20 5 7 8 -3 -8.3 22
15 Nantes 21 4 9 8 -8 -8.5 21
16 St Etienne 21 5 3 13 -26 -22.7 18
17 Le Havre 21 5 2 14 -23 -14.4 17
18 Montpellier 20 4 3 13 -26 -16.2 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Reims
11′
🟨 Oumar Diakité
Clinton Mata 🟨
31′
1–0 N. Tagliafico
C. Tolisso
36′
Half-time 1–0
Nicolás Tagliafico 🟨
58′
66′
🔁 Amadou Koné
↦ J. Patrick
67′
🟨 Nhoa Sangui
2–0 C. Tolisso
R. Cherki
68′
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
74′
A. Maitland-Niles 🔁
↦ S. Kumbedi
74′
T. Almada 🔁
↦ N. Matić
74′
75′
🔁 E. Zabi
↦ Sergio Akieme
75′
🔁 N. Sissoko
↦ O. Diakité
3–0 R. Cherki
M. Fofana
79′
Abner 🔁
↦ N. Tagliafico
81′
J. Veretout 🔁
↦ T. Tessmann
81′
87′
🟥 Ras Zabi
88′
🔁 I. Orazi
↦ M. Diakhon
88′
🔁 H. Sekine
↦ J. Ito
4–0 G. Mikautadze
R. Cherki
93′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Lucas Perri G
20 S. Kumbedi D
22 Clinton Mata D
19 M. Niakhaté D
3 N. Tagliafico D
31 N. Matić M
15 T. Tessmann M
18 R. Cherki M
8 C. Tolisso M
37 E. Nuamah M
69 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (9)
11 M. Fofana
98 A. Maitland-Niles
23 T. Almada
16 Abner
7 J. Veretout
27 W. Omari
55 D. Ćaleta-Car
40 R. Descamps
29 E. Molébé

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Reims

4-3-3
94 Y. Diouf G
23 Aurélio Buta D
24 M. Gbane D
21 C. Kipré D
18 Sergio Akieme D
30 J. Patrick M
6 V. Atangana Edoa M
55 N. Sangui M
7 J. Ito F
22 O. Diakité F
67 M. Diakhon F
Bench (9)
72 Amadou Koné
86 E. Zabi
74 N. Sissoko
73 I. Orazi
3 H. Sekine
10 T. Teuma
64 M. Diadie
31 M. Jeng
20 A. Olliero

Coach: S. Diawara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,60
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.