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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Antalyaspor
S T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,09 xG 0,24
55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 17. · Kayserispor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Konyaspor 4 2 2 0 +3 +1.4 8
2 Rizespor 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.4 7
3 Fenerbahce 2 2 0 0 +3 +5.0 6
4 Trabzonspor 4 2 0 2 +2 -1.7 6
5 Alanyaspor 4 1 3 0 +2 +1.6 6
6 Hatayspor 3 1 2 0 +4 +0.7 5
7 Sivasspor 3 1 2 0 +2 +0.4 5
8 Kayserispor 3 1 2 0 +1 -0.6 5
9 Kasimpasa 4 1 2 1 -3 +0.8 5
10 Galatasaray 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.6 4
11 Ad. Demirspor 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.2 4
12 Besiktas 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.9 4
13 Karagumruk 4 1 1 2 +0 -3.2 4
14 Pendikspor 4 0 3 1 -4 -2.8 3
15 İstanbulspor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.5 2
16 Ankaragücü 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.0 2
17 Antalyaspor 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.5 2
18 Samsunspor 3 0 1 2 -3 -0.8 1
19 Gaziantep 3 0 0 3 -5 -4.8 0
20 Buyuksehyr 3 0 0 3 -5 -0.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Kayserispor
19′
🟨 Olivier Kemen
Güray Vural 🟨
31′
34′
M. Thiam 0–1
R. Civelek
E. Yeşilyurt 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
40′
1–1 S. van de Streek
44′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Lionel Carole
66′
🔁 Carlos Mané
↦ R. Civelek
Z. Bytyqi 🔁
↦ S. van de Streek
67′
81′
🔁 B. Gezek
↦ O. Kemen
81′
🔁 E. Arıkan
↦ L. Carole
D. Milošević 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
83′
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ A. Buksa
83′
88′
🟨 Baran Ali Gezek
Britt Assombalonga 🟨
89′
93′
🔁 T. Sarıarslan
↦ A. Uzodimma
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 Helton Leite G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
21 Ö. Toprak D
11 G. Vural D
19 U. Akyol M
8 D. Šarić M
38 G. Holtmann M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Larsson M
9 A. Buksa F
Bench (10)
17 E. Yeşilyurt
77 Z. Bytyqi
20 D. Milošević
97 B. Assombalonga
6 E. Rakip
27 M. Yılmaz
23 A. Dadakdeniz
44 Naldo
30 M. Erdilman
3 B. Öztürk

Coach: N. Şahin

Kayserispor

4-4-1-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
17 A. Uzodimma D
3 J. Attamah D
54 A. Kocaman D
23 L. Carole D
10 O. Kemen M
6 A. Karimi M
89 Y. Ackah M
11 G. Sazdağı M
28 R. Civelek F
9 M. Thiam F
Bench (9)
20 Carlos Mané
26 B. Gezek
14 E. Arıkan
99 T. Sarıarslan
22 H. Erkip
88 E. Balcı
39 Ş. Öztürk
4 D. Kolovetsios
19 A. Malatyalı

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U ✓
3,69
B
3,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.