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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Standard

T T U T U

1–1

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,69 xG 0,79

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 0

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 13. · RWD Molenbeek 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.8	12
2	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+12	+7.8	10
3	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.1	9
4	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
5	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-3	-6.1	7
6	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
7	RWD Molenbeek	4	2	0	2	-8	-3.8	6
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
9	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+6	-0.0	4
10	Genk	3	1	1	1	+3	+5.9	4
11	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
12	Charleroi	5	0	3	2	-3	-2.7	3
13	Standard	4	0	2	2	-2	-5.1	2
14	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-3	-2.9	1
15	Kortrijk	5	0	1	4	-11	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+6	+3.6	4
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
6	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	-4.0	4
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
8	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
9	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
10	Charleroi	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
11	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.2	1
13	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
14	Standard	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.0	0
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.2	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.2	6
3	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
4	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Eupen	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
7	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
8	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-5	-1.2	3
9	Standard	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
10	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
13	Charleroi	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.6	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.