Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eredivisie

Referee: S van der Eijk

Heerenveen

T T T U T

2–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

78%

67%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,05 xG 0,77

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	19	18	1	0	+54	+42.6	55
2	Feyenoord	18	13	3	2	+35	+36.8	42
3	Twente	18	11	4	3	+15	+11.9	37
4	AZ Alkmaar	18	10	4	4	+20	+12.4	34
5	Ajax	19	10	4	5	+11	+8.9	34
6	Sparta Rotterdam	19	7	5	7	+0	-4.3	26
7	Go Ahead Eagles	17	7	4	6	+4	-7.2	25
8	Nijmegen	17	6	6	5	+4	-12.4	24
9	Zwolle	19	6	5	8	-4	-5.5	23
10	Excelsior	19	4	9	6	-4	-9.4	21
11	Heerenveen	18	6	2	10	-9	-3.9	20
12	Utrecht	19	4	8	7	-9	-9.2	20
13	For Sittard	18	5	5	8	-13	-1.0	20
14	Almere City	19	5	5	9	-17	-9.2	20
15	Heracles	19	5	4	10	-20	-13.4	19
16	Waalwijk	19	4	3	12	-17	-6.9	15
17	Volendam	18	3	3	12	-23	-13.6	12
18	Vitesse	19	3	3	13	-27	-16.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	10	0	0	+26	+25.8	30
2	Twente	9	7	1	1	+7	+6.3	22
3	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+18	+15.9	20
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	+14	+12.4	20
5	Ajax	9	6	1	2	+12	+8.0	19
6	For Sittard	9	5	2	2	+4	+7.3	17
7	Go Ahead Eagles	9	5	1	3	+10	+4.6	16
8	Nijmegen	9	4	2	3	+6	+1.4	14
9	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	+5	+6.8	13
10	Excelsior	10	2	6	2	+0	-0.3	12
11	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-5	+1.3	11
12	Heracles	10	3	2	5	-11	-8.2	11
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	3	4	-5	-0.5	9
14	Almere City	9	2	3	4	-7	-2.6	9
15	Utrecht	9	1	5	3	-7	-4.7	8
16	Waalwijk	10	2	2	6	-8	-5.1	8
17	Volendam	8	2	1	5	-9	+0.3	7
18	Vitesse	9	1	3	5	-7	-4.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	1	0	+28	+16.8	25
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+17	+20.9	22
3	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	2	3	+5	-3.8	17
4	Twente	9	4	3	2	+8	+5.5	15
5	Ajax	10	4	3	3	-1	+0.8	15
6	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	2	2	+6	-0.0	14
7	Zwolle	9	3	3	3	+1	-6.9	12
8	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-2	-4.5	12
9	Almere City	10	3	2	5	-10	-6.6	11
10	Nijmegen	8	2	4	2	-2	-13.8	10
11	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-4	-9.1	9
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-6	-11.7	9
13	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-9	-5.2	8
14	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-9	-1.9	7
15	Heerenveen	10	2	1	7	-14	-10.7	7
16	Vitesse	10	2	0	8	-20	-11.5	6
17	Volendam	10	1	2	7	-14	-13.9	5
18	For Sittard	9	0	3	6	-17	-8.4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.