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Serie B
Referee: F Fourneau
Cittadella
U S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Sampdoria
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
48%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 6. · Sampdoria 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 22 13 6 3 +20 45
2 Cremonese 22 12 5 5 +15 41
3 Venezia 22 12 5 5 +12 41
4 Como 22 11 6 5 +6 39
5 Palermo 22 10 6 6 +9 36
6 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Modena 22 8 7 7 -3 31
9 Brescia 22 7 8 7 +0 29
10 Reggiana 22 6 10 6 -1 28
11 Cosenza 22 7 6 9 +0 27
12 Bari 22 5 12 5 -2 27
13 Pisa 22 6 8 8 -2 26
14 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
15 Sudtirol 22 6 6 10 -2 24
16 Ascoli 22 5 7 10 -5 22
17 Ternana 22 5 6 11 -5 21
18 FeralpiSalo 22 5 5 12 -12 20
19 Spezia 22 4 8 10 -15 20
20 Lecco 22 5 5 12 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Sampdoria
Simone Branca 🟨
20′
Alessandro Salvi 🟨
37′
38′
🟨 Facundo González
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Pandolfi
S. Branca
53′
Luca Pandolfi 🟨
54′
Giuseppe Carriero 🟨
55′
60′
S. Giordano 1–1
M. De Luca
L. Carissoni 🔁
↦ A. Salvi
61′
C. Cassano 🔁
↦ A. Tessiore
61′
65′
🔁 S. Ntanda
↦ A. Álvarez
69′
D. Ghilardi 1–2
F. Depaoli
A. Rizza 🔁
↦ F. Giraudo
78′
V. Mastrantonio 🔁
↦ G. Carriero
78′
78′
🔁 K. Askildsen
↦ L. Benedetti
80′
🟨 Daniele Ghilardi
T. Maistrello 🔁
↦ A. Vita
83′
85′
🔁 A. Barreca
↦ N. Murru
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
30 S. Negro D
98 F. Giraudo D
16 A. Vita M
23 S. Branca M
20 G. Carriero M
18 A. Tessiore M
7 L. Pandolfi F
11 F. Pittarello F
Bench (12)
24 L. Carissoni
10 C. Cassano
28 A. Rizza
5 V. Mastrantonio
32 T. Maistrello
92 E. Baldini
8 F. Amatucci
77 L. Maniero
4 M. Angeli
15 D. Frare
17 E. Kornvig
9 A. Magrassi

Coach: E. Gorini

Sampdoria

4-3-2-1
1 F. Stanković G
23 F. Depaoli D
87 D. Ghilardi D
33 F. González D
29 N. Murru D
14 P. Kasami M
28 Gerard Yepes M
21 S. Giordano M
80 L. Benedetti M
19 A. Álvarez M
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (12)
43 S. Ntanda
5 K. Askildsen
3 A. Barreca
40 P. Stojanović
15 A. Lötjönen
8 M. Ricci
77 M. Delle Monache
20 A. La Gumina
39 F. Conti
32 S. Girelli
22 N. Ravaglia
12 E. Tantalocchi

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U
3,17
B ✓
3,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.