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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Eupen
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Antwerp
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 16/13 matches
Win Ø 30%
13%
46%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
69%
54%
Both score Ø 55%
63%
46%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
2,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,75 xG 1,78
38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 16. · Antwerp 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 14 12 1 1 +21 +15.4 37
2 Club Brugge 16 10 3 3 +27 +27.4 33
3 Cercle Brugge 13 10 1 2 +15 +13.8 31
4 Anderlecht 13 8 4 1 +13 +9.5 28
5 Antwerp 13 6 6 1 +21 +14.0 24
6 Genk 13 6 5 2 +17 +19.0 23
7 Gent 13 6 5 2 +7 +7.2 23
8 Standard 15 4 6 5 -6 -9.9 18
9 Westerlo 16 4 4 8 -7 -9.0 16
10 RWD Molenbeek 16 4 4 8 -19 -18.4 16
11 Mechelen 13 4 3 6 -3 -4.0 15
12 St Truiden 14 3 6 5 -8 -5.7 15
13 Charleroi 18 3 5 10 -15 -11.7 14
14 Kortrijk 18 3 3 12 -28 -17.4 12
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 2 4 9 -11 -5.8 10
16 Eupen 16 2 2 12 -24 -24.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Antwerp
1–0 B. Baiye
31′
Brandon Baiye ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
32′
Alfreð Finnbogason 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Doumbia
↦ O. Wijndal
46′
🔁 J. Bataille
↦ M. Smits
47′
🟨 Vincent Janssen
54′
🟨 Zeno Van Den Bosch
61′
ℹ️ Vincent Janssen
VAR: Card reviewed
M. Pantović 🔁
↦ J. Déom
67′
Regan Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ I. Nuhu
67′
R. Emond 🔁
↦ A. Finnbogason
67′
Jason Davidson 🟨
68′
79′
🔁 G. Kerk
↦ C. Ejuke
79′
🔁 K. Corbanie
↦ J. Ekkelenkamp
79′
🔁 J. Ondrejka
↦ A. Muja
Renaud Emond 🟨
81′
A. Keita 🔁
↦ G. Magnée
81′
Amadou Keita 🟨
92′
J. Král 🔁
↦ K. Möhwald
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eupen

4-4-2
24 G. Słonina G
28 R. Paeshuyse D
4 V. Pálsson D
35 B. Lambert D
3 J. Davidson D
15 G. Magnée M
8 K. Möhwald M
6 B. Baiye M
14 J. Déom M
7 I. Nuhu F
27 A. Finnbogason F
Bench (9)
19 M. Pantović
10 Regan Charles-Cook
9 R. Emond
18 A. Keita
21 J. Král
23 I. Christie-Davies
99 T. Roufosse
34 L. Youndje
2 Y. Van Genechten

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Antwerp

3-4-2-1
1 J. Butez G
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
23 T. Alderweireld D
5 O. Wijndal D
11 A. Muja M
46 M. Smits M
27 M. Keita M
19 C. Ejuke M
24 J. Ekkelenkamp F
18 V. Janssen F
9 G. Ilenikhena F
Bench (8)
84 M. Doumbia
34 J. Bataille
7 G. Kerk
52 K. Corbanie
17 J. Ondrejka
60 V. Udoh
91 S. Lammens
87 D. Verhulst

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
7,53
U
5,08
B
1,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.