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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Fenerbahce
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Kayserispor
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
4,8
1,8
Scored
3,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 9
19 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 7. · Kayserispor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Konyaspor 5 3 2 0 +6 11
2 Buyuksehyr 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 +6 10
4 Gaziantep 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Trabzonspor 5 3 1 1 +1 10
6 Ad. Demirspor 4 3 0 1 +3 9
7 Fenerbahce 4 2 1 1 +7 7
8 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Kayserispor 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Giresunspor 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Alanyaspor 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Karagumruk 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Sivasspor 5 0 3 2 -5 3
15 İstanbulspor 4 1 0 3 -6 3
16 Kasimpasa 4 1 0 3 -10 3
17 Ümraniyespor 5 0 1 4 -4 1
18 Ankaragücü 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Hatayspor 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Kayserispor
1–0 João Pedro
Willian Arão
37′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. King
João Pedro
50′
58′
🔁 G. Sazdağı
↦ R. Civelek
59′
🔁 Y. Ackah
↦ M. Hosseini
M. Yandaş 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
68′
D. Rossi 🔁
↦ J. King
68′
Ferdi Kadıoğlu 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 İ. Parlak
↦ M. Gavranović
75′
🟨 Gustavo Campanharo
B. Osayi-Samuel 🔁
↦ Miguel Crespo
79′
82′
🟨 Bernard Mensah
85′
🔁 O. Kemen
↦ B. Mensah
85′
🔁 Carlos Mané
↦ M. Thiam
Attila Szalai 🟨
87′
A. Güler 🔁
↦ F. Kadıoğlu
91′
Lincoln 🔁
↦ E. Alioski
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

3-5-2
1 A. Bayındır G
2 Gustavo Henrique D
41 At. Szalai D
28 Luan Peres D
7 F. Kadıoğlu M
17 İ. Kahveci M
5 Willian Arão M
27 Miguel Crespo M
6 E. Alioski M
20 João Pedro F
15 J. King F
Bench (10)
8 M. Yandaş
9 D. Rossi
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
10 A. Güler
18 Lincoln
22 Bruma
19 S. Dursun
99 E. Mor
26 M. Zajc
70 İ. Eğribayat

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Kayserispor

4-3-3
25 B. Bayazıt G
38 O. Bulut D
5 M. Hosseini D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
21 L. Carole D
43 B. Mensah M
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
28 R. Civelek M
7 Miguel Cardoso F
19 M. Gavranović F
27 M. Thiam F
Bench (10)
11 G. Sazdağı
89 Y. Ackah
23 İ. Parlak
10 O. Kemen
20 Carlos Mané
80 A. Uzodimma
26 B. Gezek
91 A. Bertolacci
12 A. Taşdan
77 N. Korkmaz

Coach: Ç. Atan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
5,01
B
6,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,49
U2,5 ✓
2,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.