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Süper Lig
Referee: S Arslanboğa
Kayserispor
T U S T T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor İstanbulspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 15. · İstanbulspor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Buyuksehyr 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Alanyaspor 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Ad. Demirspor 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Galatasaray 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Fenerbahce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Ümraniyespor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sivasspor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Gaziantep 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Ankaragücü 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Konyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Giresunspor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Antalyaspor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Kayserispor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Hatayspor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Karagumruk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 İstanbulspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Kasimpasa 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor İstanbulspor
1–0 Miguel Cardoso
L. Carole
4′
Miguel Cardoso 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Ali Yaşar
Andrea Bertolacci 🟨
52′
R. Civelek 🔁
↦ G. Sazdağı
57′
58′
🔁 V. Ethemi
↦ K. Abazaj
58′
🔁 M. Sarıkaya
↦ F. Yazgan
B. Mensah 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
67′
67′
🔁 K. Bağış
↦ O. Berber
76′
🟨 Tuncer Duhan Aksu
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ M. Gavranović
83′
Y. Ackah 🔁
↦ Miguel Cardoso
84′
86′
🔁 P. Ebert
↦ O. Erdoğan
Yaw Ackah 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
38 O. Bulut D
5 M. Hosseini D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
21 L. Carole D
91 A. Bertolacci M
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
17 E. Başsan M
7 Miguel Cardoso M
11 G. Sazdağı M
19 M. Gavranović F
Bench (9)
28 R. Civelek
43 B. Mensah
9 M. Pektemek
89 Y. Ackah
20 Carlos Mané
1 C. Gönen
77 N. Korkmaz
22 H. Erkip
80 A. Uzodimma

Coach: Ç. Atan

İstanbulspor

5-4-1
1 D. Jensen G
13 O. Berber D
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
3 D. Aksu D
66 A. Yaşar D
7 K. Abazaj M
57 M. Kabasakal M
6 F. Yazgan M
98 J. Topalli M
9 İ. Yılmaz F
Bench (10)
27 V. Ethemi
24 M. Sarıkaya
77 K. Bağış
20 P. Ebert
11 A. Čajič
59 A. Arda
44 Y. Özer
8 D. Aydın
19 E. Gültekin
50 M. Ologo

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,78
B
3,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Arslanboğa · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.