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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Sansalan
Erzurumspor
U T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Antalyaspor
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 24%
25%
22%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
63%
33%
Both score Ø 66%
75%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Erzurumspor 17. · Antalyaspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 8 6 2 0 +15 20
2 Galatasaray 10 6 2 2 +9 20
3 Fenerbahce 9 6 2 1 +8 20
4 Gaziantep 10 3 6 1 +2 15
5 Buyuksehyr 10 4 2 4 +1 14
6 Karagumruk 9 3 4 2 +6 13
7 Besiktas 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Konyaspor 8 3 3 2 +4 12
9 Kasimpasa 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Rizespor 9 3 3 3 -2 12
11 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 3 3 3 -2 12
12 Hatayspor 7 3 3 1 -2 12
13 Trabzonspor 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Goztep 8 2 5 1 +5 11
15 Sivasspor 8 2 3 3 -2 9
16 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 -5 9
17 Erzurumspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Kayserispor 8 2 1 5 -6 7
19 Denizlispor 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Genclerbirligi 8 1 2 5 -8 5
21 Ankaragücü 8 0 2 6 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Erzurumspor Antalyaspor
1–0 K. Kanak
A. Novikovas
29′
Kaan Kanak 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 G. Bayrakdar
↦ E. Gülüm
53′
🔁 E. Albayrak
↦ U. Akyol
Arturo Mina 🟨
59′
60′
V. Sarı 1–1
65′
G. Bayrakdar 1–2
Amilton
O. Çelik 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
66′
E. Başsan 🔁
↦ R. Muhammed
66′
Ö. Şişmanoğlu 🔁
↦ K. Kanak
79′
Mitchell Donald 🟨
80′
82′
🟨 Naldo
84′
🟨 Eren Albayrak
2–2 Ricardo Gomes
85′
Arturo Mina ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
89′
🟨 Naldo
89′
🟥 Naldo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Erzurumspor

4-3-3
33 K. Erdoğan G
6 K. Kanak D
28 A. Mina D
23 G. Kardeş D
4 G. Obertan M
20 M. Donald M
11 A. Novikovas F
3 I. Sissoko M
77 M. Uçar D
91 Ricardo Gomes F
9 R. Muhammed F
Bench (10)
88 O. Çelik
17 E. Başsan
7 Ö. Şişmanoğlu
13 P. Boumal
10 J. Hamroun
53 M. Albayrak
25 A. Sadiku
57 B. Ünsal
30 A. Teikeu
99 C. Alkılıç

Coach: M. Özdilek

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
35 F. Kaplan G
2 E. Gülüm D
13 F. Kudryashov D
89 V. Sarı D
4 Naldo D
8 N. Şahin M
16 Fredy M
19 U. Akyol M
10 L. Podolski M
18 A. Jahović F
23 Amilton M
Bench (9)
41 G. Bayrakdar
6 E. Albayrak
34 A. Türk
29 E. Şahin
15 M. Ekelik
28 O. Imeri
99 A. İyican
1 D. Özkan
24 S. Poyraz

Coach: E. Yanal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,48
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ali Sansalan · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.