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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Heracles

T U S T T

1–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 30%

22%

38%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

56%

75%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

63%

Average goals

3,2

3,9

Scored

1,1

2,4

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

40% Possession 60%

3 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 14. · AZ Alkmaar 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	9	0	1	+37	27
2	Vitesse	10	8	1	1	+14	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+12	20
5	Twente	10	5	3	2	+10	18
6	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	Groningen	10	5	2	3	+0	17
8	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	5	0	+7	14
9	Utrecht	8	2	4	2	-3	10
10	Zwolle	10	1	6	3	-5	9
11	Waalwijk	10	2	3	5	-8	9
12	VVV Venlo	10	2	3	5	-14	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Den Haag	10	1	2	7	-18	5
17	For Sittard	10	0	3	7	-15	3
18	FC Emmen	10	0	3	7	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Vitesse	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Twente	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Groningen	6	3	2	1	+1	11
6	Heerenveen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	+2	5
13	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	VVV Venlo	5	1	2	2	-13	5
15	Waalwijk	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	Den Haag	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	FC Emmen	5	0	2	3	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+21	12
3	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Twente	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Waalwijk	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-1	4
11	Zwolle	5	0	4	1	-4	4
12	Utrecht	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-13	3
15	Willem II	5	0	2	3	-6	2
16	FC Emmen	5	0	1	4	-8	1
17	For Sittard	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.