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Ekstraklasa
Rakow
S S S U U
1–0
Full-time
Warta Poznan
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
90%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
80%
30%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 2. · Warta Poznan 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 10 7 1 2 +6 22
2 Rakow 10 6 3 1 +11 21
3 Gornik Zabrze 11 6 2 3 +6 20
4 Zaglebie 11 5 3 3 +3 18
5 Slask Wroclaw 11 5 2 4 +5 17
6 Cracovia 11 4 5 2 +2 17
7 Lechia Gdansk 10 5 1 4 +2 16
8 Pogon Szczecin 9 4 3 2 +4 15
9 Jagiellonia 11 4 2 5 -3 14
10 Warta Poznan 10 4 1 5 -2 13
11 Lech Poznan 9 2 4 3 +1 10
12 Wisla 11 2 4 5 +0 10
13 Wisla Plock 10 2 3 5 -6 9
14 Stal Mielec 11 2 3 6 -10 9
15 Podbeskidzie 11 2 3 6 -13 9
16 Piast Gliwice 10 2 2 6 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.