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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Lyon
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Reims
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
45%
18%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lyon 4. · Reims 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 8 1 3 +22 25
2 Lille 11 6 4 1 +14 22
3 Marseille 10 6 3 1 +6 21
4 Lyon 11 5 5 1 +8 20
5 Monaco 11 6 2 3 +4 20
6 Montpellier 11 6 2 3 +4 20
7 Rennes 12 5 4 3 +3 19
8 Lens 10 5 3 2 +1 18
9 Nice 10 5 2 3 +3 17
10 Metz 11 4 4 3 +3 16
11 Bordeaux 12 4 4 4 -1 16
12 Angers 11 5 1 5 -6 16
13 Brest 11 5 0 6 -4 15
14 Nantes 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 Nimes 11 3 2 6 -8 11
16 St Etienne 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Reims 11 2 3 6 -3 9
18 Lorient 11 2 2 7 -9 8
19 Strasbourg 12 2 1 9 -10 7
20 Dijon 11 0 4 7 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Reims
14′
🟨 El Bilal Toure
1–0 K. Toko Ekambi
M. Depay
22′
32′
🟥 Moreto Cassama
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Bruno Guimarães
K. Toko Ekambi
49′
55′
🔁 A. Zeneli
↦ M. Doumbia
55′
🔁 N. Mbuku
↦ B. Dia
M. Dembélé 🔁
↦ T. Kadewere
61′
Maxwel Cornet 🟨
62′
3–0 M. Dembélé
K. Toko Ekambi
66′
S. Diomande 🔁
↦ Marcelo
71′
M. Cherki 🔁
↦ M. Depay
71′
M. De Sciglio 🔁
↦ M. Cornet
72′
72′
🔁 K. Sierhuis
↦ E. Toure
72′
🔁 M. Drammeh
↦ M. Cafaro
Moussa Dembélé 🟨
82′
M. Caqueret 🔁
↦ Bruno Guimarães
82′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
14 L. Dubois D
5 J. Denayer D
23 Thiago Mendes M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
12 Lucas Paquetá M
10 M. Depay F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
27 M. Cornet D
11 T. Kadewere F
Bench (9)
9 M. Dembélé
2 S. Diomande
18 M. Cherki
22 M. De Sciglio
25 M. Caqueret
26 M. Bard
3 D. Benlamri
30 J. Pollersbeck
4 Jean Lucas

Coach: R. Garcia

Reims

4-4-2
1 P. Rajković G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
32 T. Foket D
2 W. Faes D
3 G. Konan D
25 M. Doumbia M
23 Moreto Cassamã M
24 M. Cafaro M
15 M. Munetsi M
11 B. Dia F
27 E. Toure F
Bench (9)
10 A. Zeneli
21 N. Mbuku
9 K. Sierhuis
34 M. Drammeh
28 T. De Smet
16 Y. Diouf
8 D. Kutesa
29 D. Maresic
33 H. Ekitike

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
5,01
B
7,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.