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Serie A
Referee: G Aureliano
Lazio
T S S U S
1–3
Full-time
Udinese
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 9. · Udinese 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Inter 9 5 3 1 +10 18
3 Sassuolo 9 5 3 1 +8 18
4 Roma 8 5 2 1 +8 17
5 Napoli 7 5 0 2 +9 15
6 Verona 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Juventus 8 3 5 0 +8 14
8 Atalanta 9 4 2 3 +2 14
9 Lazio 8 4 2 2 +0 14
10 Sampdoria 8 3 1 4 -1 10
11 Cagliari 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Benevento 9 3 1 5 -9 10
13 Bologna 8 3 0 5 -1 9
14 Spezia 8 2 3 3 -4 9
15 Fiorentina 8 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Udinese 8 2 1 5 -4 7
17 Parma 8 1 3 4 -8 6
18 Torino 8 1 2 5 -6 5
19 Genoa 8 1 2 5 -9 5
20 Crotone 8 0 2 6 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Udinese
18′
T. Arslan 0–1
R. Pereyra
32′
🟨 Tolgay Arslan
Mohamed Fares 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Samir
45′
🟨 Roberto Pereyra
Half-time 0–1
J. Akpa Akpro 🔁
↦ M. Parolo
46′
Lucas Leiva 🔁
↦ D. Cataldi
46′
A. Marušić 🔁
↦ M. Fares
46′
48′
I. Pussetto 0–2
R. De Paul
57′
🔁 M. Jajalo
↦ T. Arslan
57′
🔁 N. Molina
↦ M. Zeegelaar
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
63′
71′
F. Forestieri 0–3
73′
🟨 Juan Musso
1–3 C. Immobile
74′
Andreas Pereira 🔁
↦ Patric
76′
Lucas Leiva 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 Walace
↦ F. Forestieri
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
16 M. Parolo M
10 Luis Alberto M
11 J. Correa F
29 M. Lazzari M
32 D. Cataldi M
96 M. Fares M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
92 J. Akpa Akpro
6 Lucas Leiva
77 A. Marušić
20 F. Caicedo
7 Andreas Pereira
8 D. Anderson
13 N. Armini
25 Pepe Reina
21 S. Milinković-Savić
18 G. Escalante
55 A.Furlanetto
14 W. Hoedt

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
90 M. Zeegelaar M
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
37 R. Pereyra M
22 T. Arslan M
10 R. De Paul M
23 I. Pussetto F
45 F. Forestieri F
Bench (11)
8 M. Jajalo
16 N. Molina
11 Walace
29 P. Mićin
18 H. ter Avest
31 M. Gasparini
99 M. Coulibaly
14 K. Bonifazi
64 M. Palumbo
9 Deulofeu
96 S. Scuffet

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,93
B ✓
4,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.