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Süper Lig
Referee: Umit Ozturk
Erzurumspor
U T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
20%
25%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
26 Free kicks against 17
7 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Erzurumspor 20. · Ankaragücü 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 21 14 3 4 +20 45
2 Besiktas 20 14 2 4 +24 44
3 Galatasaray 21 13 3 5 +25 42
4 Gaziantep 21 9 8 4 +9 35
5 Hatayspor 21 10 5 6 +8 35
6 Alanyaspor 20 10 4 6 +14 34
7 Trabzonspor 20 9 6 5 +2 33
8 Karagumruk 21 8 7 6 +4 31
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 21 7 7 7 +1 28
10 Antalyaspor 20 6 8 6 -6 26
11 Goztep 20 6 7 7 +5 25
12 Kasimpasa 21 7 4 10 -8 25
13 Rizespor 21 6 7 8 -9 25
14 Sivasspor 20 5 9 6 -4 24
15 Buyuksehyr 21 6 6 9 -10 24
16 Konyaspor 20 6 5 9 +0 23
17 Kayserispor 21 6 4 11 -11 22
18 Genclerbirligi 20 5 4 11 -20 19
19 Ankaragücü 20 5 3 12 -9 18
20 Erzurumspor 20 4 5 11 -16 17
21 Denizlispor 20 3 5 12 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Erzurumspor Ankaragücü
Johanna Ochieng Omolo 🟨
17′
Aatif Chahechouhe 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
O. Çelik 🔁
↦ J. Omolo
46′
55′
🟨 İbrahim Akdağ
56′
🟨 Aliou Badji
59′
🟨 Assane Dioussé
60′
🔁 A. Potuk
↦ A. Dioussé
Petrus Boumal 🟨
61′
Mostapha El Kabir 🟨
62′
A. Novikovas 🔁
↦ E. Başsan
62′
M. El Kabir 🔁
↦ Ricardo Gomes
62′
1–0 C. Alkılıç
A. Novikovas
64′
Arvydas Novikovas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
68′
69′
🟨 Zvonimir Šarlija
70′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
Arvydas Novikovas 🟨
71′
Petrus Boumal 🟨
73′
Petrus Boumal 🟥
73′
84′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ Z. Šarlija
G. Kardeş 🔁
↦ A. Chahechouhe
85′
H. Hatipoğlu 🔁
↦ C. Alkılıç
86′
88′
🔁 E. Çekiçi
↦ A. Güneren
Hasan Hatipoğlu 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
90′
🟥 Joseph Paintsil
90′
🟥 Endri Çekiçi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Erzurumspor

4-2-3-1
29 J. Szumski G
27 M. da Costa D
30 A. Teikeu D
99 C. Alkılıç M
22 L. Schwechlen D
8 J. Omolo M
92 A. Chahechouhe M
17 E. Başsan M
13 P. Boumal M
77 M. Uçar D
91 Ricardo Gomes F
Bench (10)
88 O. Çelik
11 A. Novikovas
14 M. El Kabir
23 G. Kardeş
5 H. Hatipoğlu
61 O. Karakullukçu
33 K. Erdoğan
1 G. Bakırbaş
70 B. Darri
55 Ö. Sert

Coach: M. Bakkal

Ankaragücü

4-1-4-1
1 K. Çelikay G
8 Tiago Pinto D
4 E. Dikmen D
50 Z. Šarlija D
24 İ. Akdağ M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
14 A. Dioussé M
16 A. Güneren D
6 A. Çankaya M
27 A. Badji F
28 J. Paintsil M
Bench (10)
20 A. Potuk
22 T. Børven
88 E. Çekiçi
25 Ricardo Friedrich
34 A. Babacan
42 I. Voca
2 M. Pazdan
97 E. Ayyıldız
18 Ş. Çetin
21 B. Gürbüz

Coach: N. Erkmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
3,27
B
2,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Umit Ozturk · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.