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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

AZ Alkmaar

U S S S T

0–3

Full-time

Ajax

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 66%

53%

79%

Points per game

1,9

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

79%

Both score Ø 66%

79%

53%

Average goals

3,8

4,1

Scored

2,3

3,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

8 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 4. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	19	15	2	2	+48	47
2	PSV Eindhoven	20	13	4	3	+24	43
3	Vitesse	20	13	3	4	+16	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	19	10	7	2	+16	37
5	Feyenoord	18	11	3	4	+17	36
6	Groningen	19	10	3	6	+5	33
7	Twente	20	8	6	6	+8	30
8	Heerenveen	20	6	8	6	+1	26
9	Utrecht	18	6	8	4	+0	26
10	Heracles	20	7	4	9	-7	25
11	For Sittard	20	7	4	9	-8	25
12	Zwolle	20	4	10	6	-7	22
13	VVV Venlo	20	6	4	10	-15	22
14	Sparta Rotterdam	18	6	3	9	-3	21
15	Waalwijk	20	3	6	11	-17	15
16	Willem II	20	3	4	13	-18	13
17	Den Haag	19	2	5	12	-28	11
18	FC Emmen	20	0	6	14	-32	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+22	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	8	0	1	+15	24
4	Groningen	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Utrecht	10	4	5	1	+3	17
8	Heracles	10	5	1	4	+6	16
9	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
10	Twente	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	VVV Venlo	10	3	3	4	-13	12
12	Zwolle	10	2	5	3	-2	11
13	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-5	11
14	Willem II	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	-2	9
16	Waalwijk	10	1	4	5	-7	7
17	Den Haag	9	0	3	6	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	10	0	3	7	-17	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+26	22
2	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	5	0	+9	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	5	4	2	+9	19
4	Feyenoord	10	6	1	3	+8	19
5	Twente	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Groningen	9	5	0	4	+0	15
8	For Sittard	10	4	2	4	-3	14
9	Sparta Rotterdam	8	4	0	4	-1	12
10	Heerenveen	11	2	6	3	-3	12
11	Zwolle	10	2	5	3	-5	11
12	VVV Venlo	10	3	1	6	-2	10
13	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Heracles	10	2	3	5	-13	9
15	Waalwijk	10	2	2	6	-10	8
16	Den Haag	10	2	2	6	-16	8
17	Willem II	10	0	3	7	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.