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Premier League
Referee: P Bankes
Brighton
T U T S U
1–0
Full-time
Tottenham
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 31%
15%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 59%
60%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 17. · Tottenham 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 20 13 5 2 +24 44
2 Man United 21 12 5 4 +10 41
3 Liverpool 21 11 7 3 +19 40
4 Leicester 21 12 3 6 +12 39
5 West Ham 21 10 5 6 +4 35
6 Tottenham 19 9 6 4 +14 33
7 Chelsea 21 9 6 6 +12 33
8 Everton 19 10 3 6 +5 33
9 Aston Villa 19 10 2 7 +13 32
10 Arsenal 21 9 4 8 +6 31
11 Southampton 20 8 5 7 +2 29
12 Leeds 20 9 2 9 -1 29
13 Crystal Palace 21 7 5 9 -11 26
14 Wolves 21 6 5 10 -9 23
15 Newcastle 21 6 4 11 -13 22
16 Burnley 20 6 4 10 -13 22
17 Brighton 20 3 9 8 -7 18
18 Fulham 20 2 8 10 -12 14
19 West Brom 21 2 6 13 -33 12
20 Sheffield United 21 2 2 17 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Tottenham
1–0 L. Trossard
P. Groß
17′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ D. Sánchez
61′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ G. Bale
67′
🟨 Toby Alderweireld
Neal Maupay 🟨
71′
D. Burn 🔁
↦ J. Veltman
72′
74′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ T. Ndombèlé
A. Lallana 🔁
↦ N. Maupay
79′
A. Connolly 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
79′
Dan Burn 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brighton

3-4-2-1
26 Robert Sanchez G
4 A. Webster D
34 J. Veltman M
5 L. Dunk D
3 B. White D
13 P. Groß M
20 S. March M
8 Y. Bissouma M
10 A. Mac Allister F
11 L. Trossard F
9 N. Maupay F
Bench (9)
33 D. Burn
14 A. Lallana
7 A. Connolly
19 J. Izquierdo
22 P. Tau
15 J. Moder
29 A. Zeqiri
31 C. Walton
17 S. Alzate

Coach: G. Potter

Tottenham

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lloris G
4 T. Alderweireld D
33 B. Davies M
6 D. Sánchez D
14 J. Rodon D
17 M. Sissoko M
5 P. Højbjerg M
28 T. Ndombèlé M
9 G. Bale F
7 Son Heung-Min F
23 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (9)
45 Carlos Vinícius
27 Lucas Moura
11 E. Lamela
25 J. Tanganga
2 M. Doherty
8 H. Winks
15 E. Dier
12 J. Hart
54 A. Devine

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,12
U
3,36
B
2,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Bankes · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.