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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Denizlispor

S S U T U

0–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

1,4

2,4

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,4

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

1,4

2,4

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,4

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Denizlispor 5. · Kasimpasa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Fenerbahce	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Gaziantep	5	3	1	1	+0	10
4	Sivasspor	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Denizlispor	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Buyuksehyr	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Galatasaray	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Rizespor	6	2	2	2	-4	8
9	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	2	1	2	+5	7
10	Trabzonspor	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Besiktas	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Goztep	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Antalyaspor	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Ankaragücü	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Kasimpasa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Genclerbirligi	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Sivasspor	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Gaziantep	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Besiktas	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Denizlispor	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Konyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Genclerbirligi	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Denizlispor	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	+0	4
4	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Galatasaray	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-4	4
9	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	-4	4
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Trabzonspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Genclerbirligi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Besiktas	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Kasimpasa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.