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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hibernian
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,5
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+2,8
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,5
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
2 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 11. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +17 18
2 Rangers 6 5 0 1 +11 15
3 Aberdeen 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Ross County 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Livingston 6 2 2 2 +0 8
7 Kilmarnock 6 2 1 3 -2 7
8 Hearts 6 1 2 3 -3 5
9 Hamilton 6 1 2 3 -4 5
10 St Mirren 6 1 1 4 -3 4
11 Hibernian 6 1 1 4 -10 4
12 ST Johnstone 6 0 3 3 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Celtic
0–1 K. Ajer ⚽
own goal
7′
24′
⚽ R. Christie 0–2
M. Bauer
S. Whittaker 🔁
↦ A. Jackson
32′
Josh Vela 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Olivier Ntcham
44′
🟨 Kristoffer Ajer
Half-time 0–2
47′
🟨 Callum McGregor
48′
🟨 Scott Brown
Lewis Stevenson 🟨
50′
60′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ O. Ntcham
Scott Allan 🟨
71′
D. Horgan 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
71′
72′
🔁 V. Bayo
↦ O. Édouard
84′
🔁 S. Sinclair
↦ J. Forrest
J. Newell 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
89′
90′
🟨 Moritz Bauer
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
28 C. Maxwell G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
18 A. Jackson D
17 T. James D
23 S. Allan M
6 J. Vela M
20 M. Hallberg D
14 S. Mallan M
19 G. Middleton F
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (7)
3 S. Whittaker
7 D. Horgan
11 J. Newell
1 O. Marciano
32 O. Shaw
33 F. Murray
22 F. Kamberi

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Celtic

4-2-3-1
67 F. Forster G
2 C. Jullien D
13 M. Bauer M
23 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
35 K. Ajer D
8 S. Brown M
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
21 O. Ntcham M
17 R. Christie M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (7)
15 J. Hayes
10 V. Bayo
11 S. Sinclair
33 H. Elhamed
18 T. Rogić
1 C. Gordon
27 M. Elyounoussi

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
U ✓
5,01
🔒
B
1,35
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,55
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,40
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.