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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
St Truiden
U S U U S
3–3
Full-time
Genk
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 43%
30%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
30%
67%
Both score Ø 43%
30%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 13
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 11. · Genk 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 7 2 0 +20 23
2 Standard 9 7 0 2 +17 21
3 Antwerp 8 6 0 2 +11 18
4 Gent 9 5 2 2 +11 17
5 Genk 9 5 1 3 +7 16
6 Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
8 Mechelen 10 4 3 3 -2 15
9 Charleroi 8 4 2 2 +5 14
10 Waregem 10 3 5 2 +0 14
11 St Truiden 10 3 3 4 -4 12
12 Oostende 8 3 1 4 -5 10
13 Kortrijk 10 2 2 6 -5 8
14 Eupen 11 1 4 6 -16 7
15 Anderlecht 9 1 3 5 -5 6
16 Cercle Brugge 10 2 0 8 -12 6
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 0 3 5 -14 3
18 Beveren 8 0 3 5 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Genk
14′
T. Bongonda 0–1
I. Hagi
W. Janssens 🟨
26′
P. Garcia Tena 🟨
35′
Y. Suzuki 🔁
↦ W. Janssens
43′
Half-time 0–1
J. Botaka 🟨
47′
48′
I. Hagi 0–2
S. Mmaee 🟨
59′
T. De Smet 🟨
59′
60′
I. Hagi 0–3
T. Ito 🔁
↦ A. De Bruyn
61′
1–3 Y. Boli
62′
68′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ T. Bongonda
69′
🔁 B. Heynen
↦ I. Hagi
Alan Sousa 🔁
↦ E. Acolatse
71′
79′
🟨 J. Maehle
2–3 Pol García
Y. Suzuki
80′
A. Goncalves Sousa 🟨
82′
3–3 Y. Boli
J. Botaka
87′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

St Truiden

21 D. Schmidt
29 E. Acolatse
4 Pol García
20 S. Mmaee
28 T. De Smet
7 J. Botaka
5 S. Colombatto
8 I. Sankhon
11 Y. Boli
14 A. De Bruyn
22 W. Janssens
Bench (7)
9 Y. Suzuki
23 T. Ito
50 Alan Sousa
35 T. Herbots
18 F. Colidio
70 H. Masoudi
32 C. Durkin

Coach: M. Brys

Genk

28 G. Coucke
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
33 J. Lucumí
31 J. Mæhle
17 P. Hrošovský
23 I. Hagi
25 S. Berge
10 M. Samatta
27 T. Bongonda
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
11 J. Paintsil
8 B. Heynen
18 P. Onuachu
46 C. Cuesta
2 C. De Norre
4 D. Wouters
26 M. Vandevoordt

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,26
U ✓
3,88
B
1,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.