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Ligue 2
Lens
T T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Paris FC
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,4
0,3
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lens 8. · Paris FC 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 9 7 1 1 +9 22
2 Ajaccio 9 5 2 2 +4 17
3 Le Havre 9 4 4 1 +7 16
4 Troyes 9 5 1 3 +4 16
5 Sochaux 9 4 3 2 +5 15
6 Clermont 9 4 3 2 +4 15
7 Valenciennes 9 4 3 2 +1 15
8 Lens 8 4 2 2 +2 14
9 Niort 9 3 4 2 +2 13
10 Auxerre 9 3 3 3 +3 12
11 Rodez 9 3 3 3 +2 12
12 Nancy 9 2 6 1 +1 12
13 Chambly 9 3 3 3 -2 12
14 Grenoble 9 2 5 2 -1 11
15 Guingamp 8 2 3 3 -3 9
16 Orleans 9 1 4 4 -3 7
17 Caen 9 1 3 5 -7 6
18 Chateauroux 9 1 3 5 -8 6
19 Le Mans 8 1 0 7 -9 3
20 Paris FC 8 0 2 6 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
3,60
B
6,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.