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Süper Lig
Referee: A Palabıyık
Trabzonspor
S T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 57%
56%
58%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
63%
Both score Ø 68%
72%
63%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

35% Possession 65%
16 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Trabzonspor 4. · Fenerbahce 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 19 12 5 2 +20 41
2 Buyuksehyr 20 11 6 3 +18 39
3 Fenerbahce 19 11 4 4 +17 37
4 Trabzonspor 18 10 5 3 +22 35
5 Alanyaspor 19 10 5 4 +20 35
6 Galatasaray 19 9 6 4 +12 33
7 Besiktas 20 10 3 7 +4 33
8 Goztep 19 8 5 6 +3 29
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 18 6 6 6 +7 24
10 Gaziantep 19 6 6 7 -5 24
11 Rizespor 20 7 3 10 -9 24
12 Denizlispor 19 6 4 9 -8 22
13 Genclerbirligi 20 5 6 9 -7 21
14 Konyaspor 20 4 7 9 -11 19
15 Antalyaspor 20 4 6 10 -18 18
16 Kasimpasa 19 4 3 12 -15 15
17 Ankaragücü 19 2 7 10 -20 13
18 Kayserispor 19 2 5 12 -30 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Fenerbahce
1′
M. Kruse 0–1
Badou Ndiaye 🟨
7′
1–1 A. Sørloth
C. Ekuban
15′
2–1 F. Novák
G. Campi
32′
Half-time 2–1
Guilherme 🔁
↦ Y. Sarı
46′
Alexander Sørloth 🟨
48′
62′
🔁 D. Türüç
↦ N. Dirar
62′
🔁 E. Belözoğlu
↦ T. Ciğerci
66′
🟨 Mauricio Isla
D. Sturridge 🔁
↦ C. Ekuban
67′
72′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
76′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ Garry Rodrigues
D. Erdoğan 🔁
↦ Badou NDiaye
83′
84′
🟨 Ferdi Kadıoğlu
José Sosa 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
90′
🟨 Emre Belözoğlu
90′
🟥 Luiz Gustavo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
47 João Pereira D
77 F. Novák D
22 G. Campi D
4 H. Türkmen D
12 M. Obi M
8 J. Sosa M
15 Badou N'Diaye M
11 A. Sørloth F
18 C. Ekuban M
20 Y. Sarı M
Bench (10)
6 Guilherme
19 D. Sturridge
21 D. Erdoğan
5 M. Hosseini
2 K. Çörekçi
90 S. Asan
61 A. Parmak
16 E. Kardeşler
45 B. Başacıkoğlu
33 A. Dursun

Coach: H. Çimşir

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
98 A. Bayındır G
15 S. Aziz D
4 M. Isla D
20 Luiz Gustavo M
17 N. Dirar D
14 T. Ciğerci M
24 Garry Rodrigues M
7 O. Tufan M
25 Jaílson D
10 M. Kruse M
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (10)
23 D. Türüç
5 E. Belözoğlu
16 F. Kadıoğlu
21 M. Zajc
6 T. Arslan
35 H. Tekin
9 M. Erdinç
2 S. Falette
8 M. Ekici
34 A. Rami

Coach: E. Yanal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,54
U
3,57
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Palabıyık · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.