← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota
0–4
Full-time
Porto
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 18/20 matches
Win Ø 57%
33%
80%
Points per game
1,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
28%
60%
Both score Ø 31%
22%
40%
Average goals
1,6
2,9
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 8. · Porto 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 20 19 0 1 +40 57
2 Porto 20 16 2 2 +33 50
3 Sp Lisbon 19 11 2 6 +11 35
4 Famalicao 20 10 5 5 +7 35
5 Rio Ave 20 9 5 6 +5 32
6 Sp Braga 19 9 3 7 +7 30
7 Guimaraes 19 6 8 5 +6 26
8 Vitoria Setubal 18 6 7 5 -3 25
9 Setubal 19 6 7 6 -7 25
10 Tondela 21 6 6 9 -9 24
11 Gil Vicente 19 5 8 6 -1 23
12 Boavista 19 5 7 7 -4 22
13 Maritimo 19 4 9 6 -8 21
14 Santa Clara 19 5 6 8 -8 21
15 Moreirense 19 4 7 8 -5 19
16 Belenenses 20 5 3 12 -20 18
17 Pacos Ferreira 19 4 4 11 -14 16
18 Portimonense 20 2 9 9 -14 15
19 Aves 19 3 0 16 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Porto
39′
J. Corona 0–1
44′
Alex Telles 0–2
Sérgio Oliveira
Carlinhos 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–3
48′
Tiquinho Soares 0–3
59′
🔁 Romário Baró
↦ J. Corona
62′
🟨 Wilson Manafá
K. Hachadi 🔁
↦ Hélder Guedes
62′
68′
🔁 Zé Luís
↦ Tiquinho Soares
Leandro Vilela 🔁
↦ Zequinha
70′
71′
🟨 Sérgio Oliveira
Nuno Pinto 🔁
↦ B. Mansilla
75′
75′
🔁 Vítor Ferreira
↦ Alex Telles
91′
L. Díaz 0–4
Otávio
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-2-3-1
90 G. Makaridze G
17 Sílvio D
3 Jubal D
24 Bruno Pires D
4 Artur Jorge D
29 José Semedo M
10 Éber Bessa M
76 Carlinhos M
87 Zequinha M
7 Hélder Guedes F
22 B. Mansilla M
Bench (7)
9 K. Hachadi
34 Leandro Vilela
21 Nuno Pinto
5 Mano
16 André Sousa
1 João Valido
25 Leandrinho

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Porto

4-3-3
32 A. Marchesín G
5 Iván Marcano D
13 Alex Telles D
19 C. Mbemba D
18 Wilson Manafá D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
16 M. Uribe M
25 Otávio M
29 Tiquinho Soares F
17 J. Corona F
7 L. Díaz F
Bench (7)
8 Romário Baró
20 Zé Luís
77 Vítor Ferreira
31 Diogo Costa
11 M. Marega
15 M. Loum
4 Diogo Leite

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Mota · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.