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Serie B

Livorno

T T U U T

0–3

Full-time

Ascoli

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livorno Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 26%

14%

38%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

33%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 18

8 Shots on target 9

6 Corners 5

19 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Livorno 20. · Ascoli 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	21	15	5	1	+26	50
2	Pordenone	21	10	5	6	+2	35
3	Crotone	21	10	4	7	+9	34
4	Salernitana	21	9	5	7	+4	32
5	Frosinone	21	8	7	6	+6	31
6	Virtus Entella	21	8	7	6	+3	31
7	Chievo	21	7	9	5	+4	30
8	Perugia	21	8	6	7	-2	30
9	Cittadella	21	8	6	7	-2	30
10	Pescara	21	8	5	8	+4	29
11	Pisa	22	7	8	7	+1	29
12	Spezia	20	7	7	6	+3	28
13	Juve Stabia	21	8	4	9	-6	28
14	Ascoli	21	8	3	10	-2	27
15	Venezia	21	5	9	7	-4	24
16	Empoli	21	5	9	7	-6	24
17	Cremonese	21	5	8	8	-8	23
18	Cosenza	21	4	8	9	-2	20
19	Trapani	21	4	7	10	-15	19
20	Livorno	21	3	4	14	-15	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Pordenone	11	8	2	1	+11	26
3	Ascoli	10	7	1	2	+8	22
4	Frosinone	10	6	3	1	+12	21
5	Crotone	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Perugia	11	6	3	2	+6	21
7	Salernitana	10	5	4	1	+7	19
8	Virtus Entella	10	5	4	1	+5	19
9	Juve Stabia	11	6	1	4	+0	19
10	Chievo	10	5	3	2	+5	18
11	Empoli	11	4	6	1	+5	18
12	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+2	16
13	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
14	Spezia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
15	Cittadella	11	4	3	4	-3	15
16	Pescara	11	3	5	3	+4	14
17	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	-1	10
18	Trapani	10	2	4	4	-2	10
19	Livorno	10	3	1	6	-5	10
20	Venezia	10	2	3	5	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	10	6	3	1	+5	21
2	Venezia	11	3	6	2	+1	15
3	Cittadella	10	4	3	3	+1	15
4	Pescara	10	5	0	5	+0	15
5	Crotone	10	4	1	5	+0	13
6	Spezia	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Pisa	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Salernitana	11	4	1	6	-3	13
9	Chievo	11	2	6	3	-1	12
10	Virtus Entella	11	3	3	5	-2	12
11	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-1	10
12	Frosinone	11	2	4	5	-6	10
13	Juve Stabia	10	2	3	5	-6	9
14	Perugia	10	2	3	5	-8	9
15	Pordenone	10	2	3	5	-9	9
16	Trapani	11	2	3	6	-13	9
17	Cremonese	10	1	4	5	-8	7
18	Empoli	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Ascoli	11	1	2	8	-10	5
20	Livorno	11	0	3	8	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.