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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Paris SG

S S U S S

5–0

Full-time

Montpellier

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

3,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 62%

81%

43%

Points per game

2,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

62%

52%

Both score Ø 45%

38%

52%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

2,5

1,4

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Montpellier 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	17	1	3	+38	52
2	Marseille	21	12	6	3	+9	42
3	Rennes	22	12	4	6	+8	40
4	Montpellier	21	9	6	6	+9	33
5	Lyon	21	9	5	7	+15	32
6	Nantes	22	10	2	10	-1	32
7	Lille	21	9	4	8	+0	31
8	Strasbourg	21	9	3	9	+0	30
9	Angers	21	8	6	7	-2	30
10	Bordeaux	21	8	5	8	+6	29
11	Reims	21	7	8	6	+3	29
12	Nice	21	8	5	8	+1	29
13	Monaco	21	8	5	8	+0	29
14	Brest	21	7	7	7	+1	28
15	St Etienne	21	8	4	9	-8	28
16	Metz	21	5	8	8	-9	23
17	Dijon	21	5	6	10	-8	21
18	Amiens	21	4	6	11	-17	18
19	Nimes	21	3	6	12	-19	15
20	Toulouse	21	3	3	15	-26	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	Paris SG	10	8	1	1	+21	25
3	Montpellier	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	Marseille	11	7	3	1	+8	24
5	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+5	22
6	Angers	11	6	3	2	+9	21
7	Nice	11	6	3	2	+8	21
8	Brest	11	5	5	1	+10	20
9	Strasbourg	10	6	2	2	+6	20
10	Monaco	11	6	1	4	+5	19
11	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
12	Dijon	10	4	4	2	+1	16
13	St Etienne	11	4	4	3	-1	16
14	Reims	11	3	6	2	+3	15
15	Lyon	10	4	2	4	+8	14
16	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+7	14
17	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
18	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-4	12
19	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-2	11
20	Toulouse	10	3	0	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	0	2	+17	27
2	Lyon	11	5	3	3	+7	18
3	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+1	18
5	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	-1	15
6	Reims	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Nantes	11	4	1	6	-3	13
8	St Etienne	10	4	0	6	-7	12
9	Monaco	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Strasbourg	11	3	1	7	-6	10
11	Metz	11	2	4	5	-10	10
12	Angers	10	2	3	5	-11	9
13	Montpellier	10	1	5	4	-3	8
14	Nice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Brest	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Amiens	11	1	3	7	-13	6
17	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-9	5
18	Lille	10	1	2	7	-11	5
19	Nimes	11	0	4	7	-17	4
20	Toulouse	11	0	3	8	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.