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Süper Lig
Referee: Mustafa Ogretmenoglu
Sivasspor
S S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Gaziantep
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
56%
75%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
6 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sivasspor 14. · Gaziantep 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 16 11 1 4 +18 34
2 Fenerbahce 16 10 2 4 +11 32
3 Gaziantep 16 8 7 1 +13 31
4 Galatasaray 16 9 3 4 +14 30
5 Alanyaspor 17 9 3 5 +14 30
6 Hatayspor 16 8 3 5 +3 27
7 Trabzonspor 17 7 5 5 -1 26
8 Konyaspor 16 6 4 6 +4 22
9 Karagumruk 16 5 6 5 +3 21
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 16 5 6 5 -1 21
11 Antalyaspor 17 5 6 6 -7 21
12 Rizespor 16 5 5 6 -8 20
13 Goztep 16 4 7 5 +2 19
14 Sivasspor 16 4 7 5 -3 19
15 Buyuksehyr 16 5 4 7 -5 19
16 Genclerbirligi 16 5 4 7 -7 19
17 Kasimpasa 16 5 4 7 -8 19
18 Ankaragücü 16 4 3 9 -6 15
19 Denizlispor 16 3 4 9 -11 13
20 Kayserispor 16 3 4 9 -11 13
21 Erzurumspor 17 3 4 10 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sivasspor Gaziantep
4′
A. Maxim 0–1
Jefferson
31′
🟨 Güray Vural
37′
🟨 Günay Güvenç
1–1 H. Arslan
M. Gradel
41′
Hakan Arslan 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 H. Arslan
M. Gradel
47′
55′
🔁 K. Özer
↦ A. Vetrih
63′
🟨 Kubilay Aktas
69′
🔁 C. Şahin
↦ G. Vural
69′
🔁 André
↦ M. Demir
Robin Yalçın 🟨
74′
A. Koné 🔁
↦ O. Kayode
78′
79′
🟥 Jefferson
Uğur Çiftçi 🟨
85′
Y. Öztekin 🔁
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
90′
S. Camara 🔁
↦ F. Fajr
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
3 U. Çiftçi D
4 A. Appindangoye D
6 Claudemir M
37 H. Arslan M
76 F. Fajr M
8 R. Yalçın D
17 E. Yeşilyurt M
7 M. Gradel M
80 O. Kayode F
Bench (10)
2 A. Koné
10 Y. Öztekin
14 S. Camara
5 I. Cofie
29 C. Ninga
58 Z. Erdal
30 M. Samassa
25 M. Yıldırım
20 K. Kesgin
11 Jorge Félix

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Gaziantep

5-3-2
1 G. Güvenç G
3 P. Djilobodji D
16 P. Olkowski D
17 O. Ceylan D
27 K. Mirallas M
11 G. Vural D
74 A. Vetrih M
44 A. Maxim M
8 Jefferson F
5 K. Aktaş D
10 M. Demir F
Bench (10)
7 K. Özer
77 C. Şahin
9 André
25 Ç. Akbaba
4 U. Zengin
71 M. Bozan
20 Z. Kožulj
55 A. Tetteh
26 M. Cihan
88 F. Soyalp

Coach: M. Şumudică

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,36
B
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mustafa Ogretmenoglu · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,55 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.