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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Ad. Demirspor
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
41%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 7. · Buyuksehyr 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 30 21 7 2 +32 70
2 Konyaspor 29 16 7 6 +16 55
3 Fenerbahce 29 14 8 7 +14 50
4 Buyuksehyr 29 14 5 10 +12 47
5 Alanyaspor 29 13 7 9 +6 46
6 Hatayspor 29 14 4 11 +2 46
7 Ad. Demirspor 29 12 9 8 +13 45
8 Besiktas 29 12 9 8 +5 45
9 Karagumruk 30 12 7 11 -7 43
10 Kasimpasa 30 10 8 12 +2 38
11 Galatasaray 29 10 8 11 -3 38
12 Kayserispor 30 10 8 12 -5 38
13 Antalyaspor 29 10 8 11 -5 38
14 Sivasspor 29 9 10 10 +1 37
15 Gaziantep 29 10 7 12 -4 37
16 Giresunspor 29 10 5 14 -2 35
17 Altay 29 8 5 16 -11 29
18 Goztep 29 7 6 16 -12 27
19 Rizespor 30 7 5 18 -26 26
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 30 5 5 20 -28 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Buyuksehyr
28′
🟨 Youssouf Ndayishimiye
1–0 T. Sanuç
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Aleksić
↦ S. Uçan
46′
🔁 T. Ciğerci
↦ B. Özcan
Yunus Akgün 🟨
48′
48′
D. Aleksić 1–1
T. Ciğerci
M. Balotelli 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
63′
Birkir Bjarnason 🔁
↦ B. Assombalonga
64′
Mario Balotelli 🟨
74′
J. Rassoul 🔁
↦ A. Uludağ
78′
2–1 Birkir Bjarnason
Y. Akgün
80′
86′
🟨 Tolga Ciğerci
86′
🔁 E. Çolak
↦ Trézéguet
86′
🔁 Pizzi
↦ Ş. Özbayraklı
E. Öztümer 🔁
↦ Y. Akgün
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
25 A. Uludağ D
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
2 T. Sanuç D
88 G. İnler M
90 B. Stambouli M
77 M. Vargas M
11 D. Akintola M
7 B. Assombalonga F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
9 M. Balotelli
67 Birkir Bjarnason
95 J. Rassoul
50 E. Öztümer
10 Y. Belhanda
66 İ. Çokçalış
91 S. Deli
80 D. Đoković
39 V. Karakuş
8 S. Kurt

Coach: V. Montella

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
1 V. Babacan G
60 Lucas Lima D
19 Ş. Özbayraklı D
5 Léo Duarte D
11 N. Chadli M
48 S. Uçan M
27 Trézéguet M
23 D. Türüç M
10 B. Özcan M
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
77 S. Okaka F
Bench (10)
8 D. Aleksić
28 T. Ciğerci
52 E. Çolak
20 Pizzi
6 A. Epureanu
53 M. Yazıcı
36 B. Özyurt
16 M. Şengezer
22 F. Gulbrandsen
99 A. Çiçek

Coach: E. Sözer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,40
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.