Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +49 | 60 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | +29 | 56 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +23 | 45 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +14 | 45 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +27 | 44 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +9 | 44 |
| 7 |
FC Koln
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 |
Union Berlin
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Mainz
|
26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | +9 | 37 |
| 10 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +1 | 37 |
| 11 |
M'gladbach
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 |
Bochum
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 |
Wolfsburg
|
26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Stuttgart
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 |
Augsburg
|
26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 |
Hertha
|
27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 |
Bielefeld
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -16 | 25 |
| 18 |
Greuther Furth
|
27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -46 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Neuer
G
L. Hernández
D
D. Upamecano
D
J. Stanišić
D
T. Nianzou
D
J. Kimmich
M
J. Musiala
M
L. Sané
M
Coach: J. Nagelsmann
J. Ryerson
M
P. Jaeckel
D
R. Khedira
M
S. Becker
F
T. Awoniyi
F
Coach: U. Fischer
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Leverkusen
Ein Frankfurt
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Greuther Furth
Bochum
Bayern Munich
H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.