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Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Hertha

T T T T T

3–0

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

3,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

23%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

65%

62%

Both score Ø 60%

62%

58%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

2,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

13 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 17. · Hoffenheim 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	26	19	3	4	+49	60
2	Dortmund	26	18	2	6	+29	56
3	Leverkusen	26	13	6	7	+23	45
4	RB Leipzig	26	13	5	8	+27	44
5	Freiburg	26	12	8	6	+14	44
6	Hoffenheim	26	13	5	8	+12	44
7	FC Koln	26	10	9	7	-2	39
8	Union Berlin	26	10	8	8	-1	38
9	Ein Frankfurt	26	10	7	9	+1	37
10	Mainz	25	10	4	11	+5	34
11	M'gladbach	27	9	6	12	-13	33
12	Bochum	27	9	5	13	-11	32
13	Wolfsburg	26	9	4	13	-11	31
14	Augsburg	25	6	8	11	-14	26
15	Bielefeld	26	5	10	11	-12	25
16	Stuttgart	26	5	8	13	-16	23
17	Hertha	26	6	5	15	-34	23
18	Greuther Furth	26	3	5	18	-46	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	13	11	0	2	+22	33
2	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+26	31
3	RB Leipzig	13	9	1	3	+20	28
4	Mainz	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Hoffenheim	13	8	3	2	+14	27
6	Freiburg	13	7	4	2	+10	25
7	Union Berlin	13	7	4	2	+4	25
8	Bochum	14	7	3	4	+5	24
9	FC Koln	13	7	3	3	+4	24
10	Leverkusen	13	7	2	4	+13	23
11	M'gladbach	13	6	3	4	+2	21
12	Wolfsburg	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Ein Frankfurt	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Augsburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
15	Stuttgart	13	4	3	6	-4	15
16	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-10	15
17	Bielefeld	13	2	7	4	-5	13
18	Greuther Furth	13	3	4	6	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	2	2	+23	29
2	Dortmund	13	7	2	4	+7	23
3	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+10	22
4	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+2	21
5	Freiburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
6	Hoffenheim	13	5	2	6	-2	17
7	RB Leipzig	13	4	4	5	+7	16
8	FC Koln	13	3	6	4	-6	15
9	Wolfsburg	13	4	2	7	-8	14
10	Union Berlin	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Bielefeld	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	M'gladbach	14	3	3	8	-15	12
13	Augsburg	13	2	4	7	-12	10
14	Stuttgart	13	1	5	7	-12	8
15	Bochum	13	2	2	9	-16	8
16	Hertha	13	2	2	9	-24	8
17	Mainz	12	2	1	9	-11	7
18	Greuther Furth	13	0	1	12	-35	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.