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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Mainz

S U S T T

4–0

Full-time

Bielefeld

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

19%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

52%

31%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

42%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 10. · Bielefeld 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	26	19	3	4	+49	60
2	Dortmund	26	18	2	6	+29	56
3	Leverkusen	26	13	6	7	+23	45
4	RB Leipzig	26	13	5	8	+27	44
5	Freiburg	26	12	8	6	+14	44
6	Hoffenheim	26	13	5	8	+12	44
7	FC Koln	26	10	9	7	-2	39
8	Union Berlin	26	10	8	8	-1	38
9	Ein Frankfurt	26	10	7	9	+1	37
10	Mainz	25	10	4	11	+5	34
11	M'gladbach	27	9	6	12	-13	33
12	Bochum	27	9	5	13	-11	32
13	Wolfsburg	26	9	4	13	-11	31
14	Augsburg	25	6	8	11	-14	26
15	Bielefeld	26	5	10	11	-12	25
16	Stuttgart	26	5	8	13	-16	23
17	Hertha	26	6	5	15	-34	23
18	Greuther Furth	26	3	5	18	-46	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	13	11	0	2	+22	33
2	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+26	31
3	RB Leipzig	13	9	1	3	+20	28
4	Mainz	13	8	3	2	+16	27
5	Hoffenheim	13	8	3	2	+14	27
6	Freiburg	13	7	4	2	+10	25
7	Union Berlin	13	7	4	2	+4	25
8	Bochum	14	7	3	4	+5	24
9	FC Koln	13	7	3	3	+4	24
10	Leverkusen	13	7	2	4	+13	23
11	M'gladbach	13	6	3	4	+2	21
12	Wolfsburg	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Ein Frankfurt	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Augsburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
15	Stuttgart	13	4	3	6	-4	15
16	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-10	15
17	Bielefeld	13	2	7	4	-5	13
18	Greuther Furth	13	3	4	6	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	2	2	+23	29
2	Dortmund	13	7	2	4	+7	23
3	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+10	22
4	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+2	21
5	Freiburg	13	5	4	4	+4	19
6	Hoffenheim	13	5	2	6	-2	17
7	RB Leipzig	13	4	4	5	+7	16
8	FC Koln	13	3	6	4	-6	15
9	Wolfsburg	13	4	2	7	-8	14
10	Union Berlin	13	3	4	6	-5	13
11	Bielefeld	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	M'gladbach	14	3	3	8	-15	12
13	Augsburg	13	2	4	7	-12	10
14	Stuttgart	13	1	5	7	-12	8
15	Bochum	13	2	2	9	-16	8
16	Hertha	13	2	2	9	-24	8
17	Mainz	12	2	1	9	-11	7
18	Greuther Furth	13	0	1	12	-35	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.