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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Nijmegen
S U T T T
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 26/24 matches
Win Ø 24%
31%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
18 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nijmegen 10. · Sparta Rotterdam 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 26 20 3 3 +66 63
2 PSV Eindhoven 26 20 1 5 +32 61
3 Feyenoord 26 17 4 5 +35 55
4 Twente 27 16 6 5 +11 54
5 AZ Alkmaar 24 15 2 7 +18 47
6 Utrecht 24 11 6 7 +11 39
7 Vitesse 22 11 3 8 -7 36
8 Groningen 26 8 9 9 -4 33
9 Cambuur 27 10 3 14 -15 33
10 Nijmegen 26 8 7 11 -10 31
11 Heerenveen 26 8 6 12 -10 30
12 Go Ahead Eagles 27 8 6 13 -13 30
13 Heracles 27 7 6 14 -10 27
14 Waalwijk 26 5 9 12 -14 24
15 Willem II 26 6 4 16 -23 22
16 For Sittard 25 6 4 15 -27 22
17 Sparta Rotterdam 24 4 8 12 -18 20
18 Zwolle 27 5 5 17 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nijmegen Sparta Rotterdam
19′
🟨 Joeri de Kamps
Half-time 0–0
Rodrigo Guth 🟨
51′
65′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ L. Thy
J. Vet 🔁
↦ M. Mattsson
76′
W. Bony 🔁
↦ A. Akman
76′
79′
🔁 J. van Mullem
↦ Y. Namli
85′
🔁 M. Pinto
↦ J. de Kamps
86′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ M. Engels
86′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ V. van Crooij
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
1 M. Branderhorst G
5 Rodrigo Guth D
26 C. Odenthal D
16 S. El Karouani D
28 B. van Rooij D
20 L. Schöne M
11 M. Mattsson M
71 D. Proper M
10 J. Okita M
7 E. Tavşan M
9 A. Akman F
Bench (10)
15 J. Vet
12 W. Bony
6 J. Bruijn
2 I. Bronkhorst
18 M. De Wolf
24 C. Verdonk
22 J. van der Sluijs
4 Iván Márquez
27 D. Vukovic
31 R. Roefs

Coach: R. Meijer

Sparta Rotterdam

4-4-2
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
5 R. Durmisi D
2 D. Abels D
4 A. Auassar D
6 J. de Kamps M
10 Y. Namli M
8 A. Verschueren M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels F
7 V. van Crooij M
Bench (10)
19 Adrián Dalmau
16 J. van Mullem
18 M. Pinto
12 G. Masouras
17 S. Mijnans
20 T. Coremans
15 A. Meijers
30 B. van Leer
14 M. Heylen
13 L. Jans

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,26
B
2,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.