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Primeira Liga
Referee: David Silva
Santa Clara
T U U S U
0–0
Full-time
Belenenses
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 20%
27%
12%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
62%
31%
Both score Ø 52%
62%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 10. · Belenenses 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 26 22 4 0 +48 70
2 Sp Lisbon 26 20 4 2 +35 64
3 Benfica 26 18 4 4 +42 58
4 Sp Braga 26 13 7 6 +16 46
5 Gil Vicente 26 12 9 5 +12 45
6 Guimaraes 26 10 6 10 +2 36
7 Estoril 26 8 10 8 +0 34
8 Maritimo 26 8 8 10 -3 32
9 Pacos Ferreira 26 7 9 10 -8 30
10 Santa Clara 26 7 9 10 -13 30
11 Portimonense 26 7 8 11 -5 29
12 Famalicao 27 6 10 11 -8 28
13 Boavista 26 4 15 7 -8 27
14 Vizela 27 5 11 11 -16 26
15 Arouca 27 5 8 14 -23 23
16 Tondela 27 6 4 17 -21 22
17 Moreirense 26 4 8 14 -19 20
18 Belenenses 26 3 8 15 -31 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Belenenses
45′
🟨 Carraça
Half-time 0–0
Anderson Carvalho 🟨
47′
56′
🟨 Yves Baraye
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ O. Barreto
57′
61′
🔁 Alisson Safira
↦ Abel Camará
65′
🟨 Yohan Tavares
72′
🔁 Rafael Camacho
↦ Licá
K. Tagawa 🔁
↦ Cryzan
74′
Allano 🔁
↦ Rui Costa
74′
Kennedy Boateng 🟨
86′
89′
🟨 Sphephelo Sithole
89′
🟨 Diogo Calila
M. Mohebi 🔁
↦ Anderson Carvalho
89′
Paulo Henrique 🟨
90′
94′
🔁 Sandro
↦ Afonso Sousa
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
16 Paulo Henrique D
2 Rafael Ramos D
17 C. González D
4 K. Boateng D
8 Anderson Carvalho M
20 O. Barreto M
10 Lincoln M
25 H. Morita M
23 Cryzan M
77 Rui Costa F
Bench (9)
98 Ricardinho
27 K. Tagawa
7 Allano
30 M. Mohebi
19 Júlio Romão
6 Mansur
1 Ricardo Fernandes
21 Nené
5 João Afonso

Coach: Mário Silva

Belenenses

4-3-1-2
1 Luiz Felipe G
32 Yohan Tavares D
2 Diogo Calila D
14 Danny Henriques D
17 Carraça D
8 S. Sithole M
10 Afonso Sousa M
45 Braima Sambú M
88 Licá F
29 Abel Camará F
77 Y. Baraye M
Bench (9)
25 Alisson Safira
64 Rafael Camacho
30 Sandro
19 Francisco Teixeira
27 C. Akas
49 Tomás Castro
7 Pedro Nuno
31 João Monteiro
99 Álvaro Ramalho

Coach: Franclim Carvalho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,58
U ✓
3,80
B
6,15
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Silva · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.