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Süper Lig

Referee: H Göçek

Ad. Demirspor

T S S S S

4–2

Full-time

Alanyaspor

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

This season — Süper Lig · 30/31 matches

Win Ø 43%

53%

32%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

68%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

51% Possession 49%

22 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 4. · Alanyaspor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	22	4	4	+42	70
2	Besiktas	32	20	8	4	+33	68
3	Fenerbahce	30	21	4	5	+38	67
4	Ad. Demirspor	30	16	9	5	+29	57
5	Buyuksehyr	30	15	6	9	+12	51
6	Kayserispor	31	15	3	13	+1	48
7	Konyaspor	31	11	12	8	+6	45
8	Trabzonspor	30	13	6	11	+3	45
9	Karagumruk	30	10	11	9	+8	41
10	Alanyaspor	31	10	8	13	-9	38
11	Sivasspor	31	10	7	14	-3	37
12	Antalyaspor	31	10	6	15	-8	36
13	Ankaragücü	30	10	5	15	-6	35
14	Kasimpasa	31	9	7	15	-14	34
15	İstanbulspor	30	9	5	16	-21	32
16	Giresunspor	30	6	9	15	-25	27
17	Ümraniyespor	31	6	8	17	-14	26
18	Gaziantep	31	6	7	18	-26	25
19	Hatayspor	30	6	5	19	-46	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	16	12	3	1	+23	39
2	Galatasaray	15	12	2	1	+20	38
3	Ad. Demirspor	15	11	4	0	+29	37
4	Fenerbahce	15	10	2	3	+19	32
5	Trabzonspor	15	9	4	2	+16	31
6	Buyuksehyr	15	10	1	4	+9	31
7	Kayserispor	16	9	2	5	+11	29
8	Alanyaspor	16	8	4	4	+7	28
9	Antalyaspor	16	7	2	7	+2	23
10	Ankaragücü	15	6	3	6	+0	21
11	Konyaspor	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Kasimpasa	16	6	3	7	-2	21
13	Karagumruk	15	5	5	5	+5	20
14	Sivasspor	15	4	6	5	+2	18
15	İstanbulspor	15	5	3	7	-7	18
16	Hatayspor	14	4	4	6	-13	16
17	Giresunspor	14	4	3	7	-7	15
18	Ümraniyespor	16	3	4	9	-5	13
19	Gaziantep	15	3	4	8	-11	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	15	11	2	2	+19	35
2	Galatasaray	15	10	2	3	+22	32
3	Besiktas	16	8	5	3	+10	29
4	Konyaspor	15	6	6	3	+6	24
5	Karagumruk	15	5	6	4	+3	21
6	Buyuksehyr	15	5	5	5	+3	20
7	Ad. Demirspor	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	Sivasspor	16	6	1	9	-5	19
9	Kayserispor	15	6	1	8	-10	19
10	Ankaragücü	15	4	2	9	-6	14
11	Trabzonspor	15	4	2	9	-13	14
12	İstanbulspor	15	4	2	9	-14	14
13	Ümraniyespor	15	3	4	8	-9	13
14	Antalyaspor	15	3	4	8	-10	13
15	Kasimpasa	15	3	4	8	-12	13
16	Gaziantep	16	3	3	10	-15	12
17	Giresunspor	16	2	6	8	-18	12
18	Alanyaspor	15	2	4	9	-16	10
19	Hatayspor	16	2	1	13	-33	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.