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Ligue 2

Referee: A Perreau Niel

Pau FC

T U S S T

3–4

Full-time

Quevilly Rouen

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Quevilly Rouen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 32%

30%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

33%

39%

Both score Ø 42%

42%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 14. · Quevilly Rouen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	33	18	14	1	+28	68
2	Bordeaux	34	19	8	7	+22	65
3	Metz	33	16	11	6	+23	59
4	Bastia	33	15	8	10	+4	53
5	Sochaux	33	15	7	11	+19	52
6	Caen	34	14	10	10	+6	52
7	Grenoble	33	14	8	11	+2	50
8	St Etienne	33	12	10	11	+2	46
9	Guingamp	33	12	9	12	+1	45
10	Quevilly Rouen	33	11	12	10	+1	45
11	Paris FC	33	12	8	13	-1	44
12	Rodez	33	10	11	12	-4	41
13	Amiens	33	11	8	14	-9	41
14	Pau FC	33	10	10	13	-9	40
15	Valenciennes	33	8	13	12	-8	37
16	Annecy	33	9	10	14	-13	37
17	Dijon	33	8	10	15	-8	34
18	Laval	33	10	4	19	-14	34
19	Nimes	33	9	5	19	-15	32
20	Niort	33	7	6	20	-27	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	17	11	4	2	+16	37
2	Caen	17	10	5	2	+14	35
3	Le Havre	16	9	7	0	+14	34
4	Bastia	17	10	3	4	+10	33
5	Sochaux	17	9	4	4	+15	31
6	Metz	17	8	7	2	+11	31
7	Grenoble	17	9	4	4	+5	31
8	Quevilly Rouen	17	6	8	3	+6	26
9	Valenciennes	17	5	10	2	+3	25
10	Nimes	16	8	1	7	+3	25
11	St Etienne	16	7	4	5	+2	25
12	Dijon	17	6	6	5	+1	24
13	Amiens	16	7	3	6	+0	24
14	Annecy	16	7	3	6	-2	24
15	Guingamp	17	6	3	8	+0	21
16	Pau FC	16	5	6	5	-3	21
17	Laval	16	6	2	8	-1	20
18	Paris FC	16	5	3	8	-1	18
19	Rodez	17	4	6	7	-8	18
20	Niort	16	5	2	9	-10	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	17	9	7	1	+14	34
2	Metz	16	8	4	4	+12	28
3	Bordeaux	17	8	4	5	+6	28
4	Paris FC	17	7	5	5	+0	26
5	Guingamp	16	6	6	4	+1	24
6	Rodez	16	6	5	5	+4	23
7	Sochaux	16	6	3	7	+4	21
8	St Etienne	17	5	6	6	+0	21
9	Bastia	16	5	5	6	-6	20
10	Grenoble	16	5	4	7	-3	19
11	Quevilly Rouen	16	5	4	7	-5	19
12	Pau FC	17	5	4	8	-6	19
13	Caen	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Amiens	17	4	5	8	-9	17
15	Laval	17	4	2	11	-13	14
16	Annecy	17	2	7	8	-11	13
17	Valenciennes	16	3	3	10	-11	12
18	Dijon	16	2	4	10	-9	10
19	Niort	17	2	4	11	-17	10
20	Nimes	17	1	4	12	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.