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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Nijmegen

S T U T S

2–3

Full-time

Heerenveen

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 30/28 matches

Win Ø 30%

27%

32%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

37%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 9. · Heerenveen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	30	22	7	1	+45	73
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	21	5	5	+47	68
3	Ajax	30	18	8	4	+47	62
4	AZ Alkmaar	30	18	6	6	+27	60
5	Sparta Rotterdam	27	15	6	6	+21	51
6	Twente	26	14	7	5	+26	49
7	Waalwijk	31	11	8	12	-3	41
8	Utrecht	28	10	9	9	-4	39
9	Nijmegen	30	8	14	8	+5	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	30	9	9	12	-8	36
11	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-10	34
12	For Sittard	30	9	5	16	-21	32
13	Vitesse	30	7	10	13	-12	31
14	Volendam	31	8	6	17	-28	30
15	FC Emmen	30	6	10	14	-22	28
16	Excelsior	30	8	4	18	-39	28
17	Groningen	30	4	5	21	-32	17
18	Cambuur	30	4	4	22	-39	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	13	1	1	+39	40
2	Feyenoord	15	11	4	0	+25	37
3	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
4	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+31	31
5	Waalwijk	16	9	3	4	+13	30
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Sparta Rotterdam	14	9	1	4	+14	28
8	Go Ahead Eagles	15	6	5	4	+2	23
9	Excelsior	15	7	2	6	-5	23
10	Volendam	15	7	1	7	-5	22
11	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	Nijmegen	15	3	9	3	+4	18
13	FC Emmen	15	3	9	3	-2	18
14	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-9	15
15	Vitesse	15	3	6	6	-9	15
16	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Groningen	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Cambuur	15	2	0	13	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+20	36
2	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+16	31
3	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	1	4	+14	31
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Nijmegen	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	-2	20
8	Utrecht	14	5	4	5	-4	19
9	For Sittard	15	5	2	8	-12	17
10	Vitesse	15	4	4	7	-3	16
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	15	2	5	8	-16	11
14	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-19	10
15	FC Emmen	15	3	1	11	-20	10
16	Volendam	16	1	5	10	-23	8
17	Groningen	15	1	2	12	-24	5
18	Excelsior	15	1	2	12	-34	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.