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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
ST Johnstone
U T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Dundee United
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 26%
27%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · Dundee United 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 30 2 1 +78 92
2 Rangers 33 25 4 4 +47 79
3 Aberdeen 33 17 2 14 +0 53
4 Hearts 33 14 6 13 +7 48
5 Hibernian 33 13 5 15 -3 44
6 St Mirren 33 12 8 13 -11 44
7 Livingston 34 12 6 16 -21 42
8 Motherwell 33 10 7 16 -4 37
9 ST Johnstone 33 9 6 18 -20 33
10 Dundee United 33 8 7 18 -22 31
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 7 18 -29 31
12 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -22 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Feb -23 Dundee United – ST Johnstone 1–2 2. Jan -23 ST Johnstone – Dundee United 0–1 1. Oct -22 Dundee United – ST Johnstone 1–2 5. Feb -22 ST Johnstone – Dundee United 0–0 30. Oct -21 Dundee United – ST Johnstone 0–1

Match report

ST Johnstone Dundee United
1–0 L. Gordon ⚽
S. May
43′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🟥 Charlie Mulgrew
64′
🟨 Ilmari Niskanen
T. Bair 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
67′
70′
🔁 R. MacLeod
↦ K. Freeman
Stevie May 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Aziz Behich
80′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
Z. Rudden 🔁
↦ S. May
80′
87′
🔁 M. Anim Cudjoe
↦ I. Harkes
91′
🔁 R. Edwards
↦ S. McMann
Graham Carey 🟨
93′
A. Mitchell 🔁
↦ J. Brown
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-1-4-1
1 R. Matthews G
2 J. Brown D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
19 A. Montgomery D
34 D. Phillips M
14 D. Wright M
18 C. MacPherson M
22 M. Hallberg M
23 G. Carey M
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
17 T. Bair
16 Z. Rudden
5 A. Mitchell
20 R. Sinclair
29 J. Murphy
25 Cammy Ballantyne
3 T. Gallacher
45 J. Mylchreest
31 S. Moreland

Coach: S. MacLean

Dundee United

4-3-2-1
1 M. Birighitti G
22 K. Freeman D
27 L. Ayina D
4 C. Mulgrew D
3 S. McMann D
23 I. Harkes M
14 C. Sibbald M
18 J. McGrath M
7 I. Niskanen M
16 A. Behich M
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
44 R. MacLeod
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
12 R. Edwards
6 R. Graham
31 J. Newman
10 A. Djoum
15 G. Middleton
39 M. Thomson
25 K. Fotheringham

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
🔒
U
3,21
🔒
B
3,03
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,22
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.