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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Galatasaray
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 62%
76%
48%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
72%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
52%
64%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 4
22 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 1. · Ad. Demirspor 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 19 3 3 +33 60
2 Fenerbahce 24 17 3 4 +35 54
3 Besiktas 25 14 7 4 +20 49
4 Ad. Demirspor 25 12 9 4 +20 45
5 Trabzonspor 26 13 5 8 +9 44
6 Buyuksehyr 25 13 5 7 +9 44
7 Kayserispor 26 13 2 11 +4 41
8 Konyaspor 25 8 10 7 +2 34
9 Karagumruk 24 7 10 7 +4 31
10 Antalyaspor 25 8 4 13 -8 28
11 Alanyaspor 25 7 7 11 -11 28
12 Sivasspor 25 7 6 12 -7 27
13 Kasimpasa 25 7 5 13 -13 26
14 Ümraniyespor 26 6 7 13 -7 25
15 Gaziantep 26 6 7 13 -11 25
16 Ankaragücü 25 7 4 14 -11 25
17 İstanbulspor 24 7 3 14 -21 24
18 Giresunspor 24 5 8 11 -19 23
19 Hatayspor 24 6 5 13 -28 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Ad. Demirspor
Sérgio Oliveira 🟨
31′
35′
🟨 Jonas Svensson
38′
🟨 Emre Akbaba
41′
🟨 Babajide David Akintola
Half-time 0–0
Dries Mertens 🟨
55′
Sam Adekugbe 🟨
59′
N. Zaniolo 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
65′
65′
🔁 Y. Sarı
↦ D. Akintola
F. Midtsjø 🔁
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
74′
Y. Akgün 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
74′
K. Karataş 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
84′
B. Gomis 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
84′
84′
🔁 M. Çetin
↦ E. Akbaba
85′
🔁 F. Gulbrandsen
↦ H. Onyekuru
1–0 F. Midtsjø
86′
2–0 N. Zaniolo
98′
101′
🟨 Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Sacha Boey 🟨
102′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
32 S. Adekugbe D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
5 L. Torreira M
26 M. Rashica M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
17 N. Zaniolo
6 F. Midtsjø
11 Y. Akgün
88 K. Karataş
18 B. Gomis
64 Mata
23 K. Ayhan
2 L. Dubois
34 O. Kocuk
53 B. Yılmaz

Coach: O. Buruk

Ad. Demirspor

4-4-2
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 J. Morel D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
11 D. Akintola M
90 B. Stambouli M
17 P. N'Diaye M
7 H. Onyekuru M
20 E. Akbaba F
29 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
26 Y. Sarı
45 M. Çetin
23 F. Gulbrandsen
39 V. Karakuş
27 F. Soyalp
88 G. İnler
32 Y. Erdoğan
18 G. Karačić
16 İ. Çokçalış
15 J. Manev

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
U
4,93
B
6,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,38
U2,5 ✓
2,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.