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Serie B
Referee: M Di Bello
Sudtirol
T U T T S
2–3
Full-time
Reggiana
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
29%
18%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 1
0 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sudtirol 12. · Reggiana 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 18 11 5 2 +18 38
2 Venezia 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Cremonese 18 9 5 4 +13 32
4 Cittadella 18 9 5 4 +5 32
5 Como 18 9 5 4 +3 32
6 Catanzaro 18 9 3 6 +5 30
7 Palermo 18 8 5 5 +8 29
8 Modena 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Brescia 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Pisa 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Ternana 18 4 5 9 -4 17
16 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
17 Lecco 18 4 5 9 -10 17
18 Ascoli 17 4 4 9 -6 16
19 Spezia 18 3 7 8 -11 16
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Reggiana
-5′
🟥 Luca Cigarini
2′
A. Bianco 0–1
Andrea Masiello 🟨
10′
1–1 A. Masiello
28′
32′
🟨 Elvis Kabashi
36′
🟨 Alessandro Bianco
Half-time 1–2
52′
N. Girma 1–2
R. Fiamozzi
60′
🔁 J. Antiste
↦ M. Portanova
Daniele Casiraghi 🟨
61′
G. Lunetta 🔁
↦ A. Cagnano
70′
A. Cisco 🔁
↦ R. Ciervo
71′
72′
🔁 D. Črnigoj
↦ N. Girma
73′
🔁 L. Libutti
↦ E. Pieragnolo
E. Pecorino 🔁
↦ N. Rauti
77′
77′
C. Gondo 1–3
D. Črnigoj
2–3 D. Casiraghi
81′
Andrea Cisco 🟨
86′
R. Kofler 🔁
↦ A. Giorgini
88′
A. Moutassime 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
88′
90′
🟨 Francesco Bardi
94′
🔁 Muhamed Djamanca
↦ C. Gondo
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
5 K. Vinetot D
55 A. Masiello D
3 A. Cagnano D
11 R. Ciervo M
21 F. Tait M
42 D. Peeters M
17 D. Casiraghi M
23 N. Rauti F
33 S. Merkaj F
Bench (11)
8 G. Lunetta
26 A. Cisco
9 E. Pecorino
28 R. Kofler
70 A. Moutassime
15 J. Broh
14 G. Cuomo
77 L. Lonardi
12 G. Drago
34 J. Tschöll
6 L. Ghiringhelli

Coach: F. Valente

Reggiana

3-4-2-1
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
19 F. Romagna D
25 P. Szymiński D
15 R. Fiamozzi M
77 E. Kabashi M
42 A. Bianco M
3 E. Pieragnolo M
80 N. Girma F
90 M. Portanova F
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (11)
28 J. Antiste
33 D. Črnigoj
17 L. Libutti
7 Muhamed Djamanca
1 A. Sposito
27 A. Marcandalli
8 L. Cigarini
12 G. Satalino
72 F. Melegoni
24 F. Nardi
10 E. Lanini

Coach: A. Nesta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
2,90
B ✓
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,65
U2,5
1,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.