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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Venezia
S S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Lecco
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Lecco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
59%
24%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
59%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Venezia 2. · Lecco 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 17 10 5 2 +16 35
2 Venezia 17 10 3 4 +11 33
3 Como 17 9 4 4 +3 31
4 Catanzaro 17 9 3 5 +6 30
5 Cremonese 17 8 5 4 +9 29
6 Cittadella 17 8 5 4 +2 29
7 Palermo 17 8 4 5 +8 28
8 Modena 17 7 6 4 +1 27
9 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
10 Brescia 17 5 7 5 +1 22
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Pisa 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Ternana 17 4 5 8 -2 17
16 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
17 Ascoli 17 4 4 9 -6 16
18 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
19 Lecco 17 4 4 9 -10 16
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Lecco
21′
F. Lepore 0–1
Dennis Johnsen 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 D. Johnsen
T. Tessmann
57′
58′
🔁 L. Giudici
↦ F. Lepore
2–1 T. Tessmann
M. Kofod Andersen
60′
63′
🟨 Mats Lemmens
J. Pohjanpalo 🔁
↦ C. Gytkjær
64′
M. Ellertsson 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
64′
71′
A. Ioniţă 2–2
A. Novakovich
73′
🔁 G. Galli
↦ A. Ioniţă
B. Bjarkason 🔁
↦ N. Lella
74′
A. Dembélé 🔁
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
81′
83′
🔁 U. Eusepi
↦ A. Novakovich
83′
🔁 D. Degli Innocenti
↦ G. Crociata
83′
🔁 M. Battistini
↦ N. Buso
87′
🟨 Umberto Eusepi
Tanner Tessmann 🟨
94′
96′
🟨 Mats Lemmens
96′
🟥 Mats Lemmens
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Venezia

4-3-1-2
1 J. Joronen G
27 A. Candela D
15 G. Altare D
33 M. Šverko D
7 F. Zampano D
24 N. Lella M
8 T. Tessmann M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
17 D. Johnsen M
9 C. Gytkjær F
10 N. Pierini F
Bench (12)
20 J. Pohjanpalo
77 M. Ellertsson
19 B. Bjarkason
25 A. Dembélé
21 D. Cheryshev
60 L. Busato
23 M. Grandi
30 M. Svoboda
31 M. Ullmann
18 M. Jajalo
6 G. Busio
12 Bruno

Coach: P. Vanoli

Lecco

4-3-3
1 R. Melgrati G
83 M. Lemmens D
2 V. Celjak D
6 A. Bianconi D
17 A. Caporale D
21 G. Crociata M
8 A. Sersanti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
32 F. Lepore F
90 A. Novakovich F
99 N. Buso F
Bench (12)
7 L. Giudici
96 G. Galli
9 U. Eusepi
5 D. Degli Innocenti
13 M. Battistini
18 L. Pinzauti
68 B. Boci
73 L. Di Stefano
11 M. Tordini
80 V. Agostinelli
34 L. Marrone
22 U. Saracco

Coach: E. Bonazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U ✓
3,88
B
5,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.