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Conference League
Referee: A Stavrev
Fenerbahce
U S T S S
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Spartak Trnava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
82%
27%
Points per game
2,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
82%
64%
Both score Ø 69%
55%
82%
Average goals
3,9
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,14 xG 0,37
66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Spartak Trnava
Joshua King 🟨
-5′
Alexander Djiku 🟨
29′
31′
🟨 Martin Bukata
1–0 F. Kadıoğlu
D. Tadić
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Breznik
↦ K. Koštrna
1–1 D. Takáč
own goal
48′
2–1 E. Džeko
59′
3–1 E. Džeko
İ. Kahveci
61′
J. King 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
63′
S. Aziz 🔁
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
63′
66′
🔁 J. Paur
↦ P. Azango
66′
🔁 R. Procházka
↦ M. Bukata
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
71′
U. Nayir 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
74′
C. Ünder 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
74′
74′
🔁 M. Djuričin
↦ M. Ďuriš
Y. Akçiçek 🔁
↦ A. Djiku
78′
80′
🔁 M. Ujlaky
↦ K. Ofori
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
70 İ. Eğribayat G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
6 A. Djiku D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
5 İ. Yüksek M
35 Fred M
17 İ. Kahveci M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (11)
15 J. King
4 S. Aziz
22 U. Nayir
20 C. Ünder
95 Y. Akçiçek
40 D. Livaković
11 R. Kent
97 F. Akyüz
27 Miguel Crespo
8 M. Yandaş
23 M. Batshuayi

Coach: İ. Kartal

Spartak Trnava

4-3-3
71 D. Takáč G
24 K. Koštrna D
3 A. Đurić D
26 S. Kóša D
18 M. Šulek D
28 M. Bukata M
80 A. Zeljković M
27 J. Bernát M
97 K. Ofori F
57 M. Ďuriš F
11 P. Azango F
Bench (8)
5 M. Breznik
17 J. Paur
6 R. Procházka
7 M. Djuričin
13 M. Ujlaky
72 M. Vantruba
20 A. Oseni
31 D. Rusov

Coach: M. Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Stavrev · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.